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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
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“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
— Warren Buffett, The New York Times, 2008
Long Hanwha Ocean / short Samsung Heavy Industries, equal money, rebalanced daily (start = 100)
Monitored pairs only include stocks that trade at least ₩5B a day on average (last 20 days). Max size is 10% of the thinner leg’s average day, so the trade stays a small part of the market. Either side may need to be shorted (the reversal trade shorts whichever ran ahead), so we show shares on loan for both; under 0.1% usually means little stock to borrow.
A day, week or month goes to the stock that did better in it.
| Hanwha Ocean won | Now | Longest Hanwha Ocean | Longest Samsung Heavy Industries | Usual streak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days | 48% | Samsung Heavy Industries 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| Weeks | 45% | Samsung Heavy Industries 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Months | 38% | Samsung Heavy Industries 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Pair | Hanwha Ocean | Samsung Heavy Industries | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1W | −7.1% | −17.4% | −10.9% |
| 1M | −17.9% | −35.2% | −20.9% |
| 3M |
Rule: when the gap passes ±2, short the stock that ran ahead and buy the other; close when the gap is back within ±0.5, after 60 trading days, or at ±4. After fees, the transaction tax and borrowing the short.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | −1.2% | +3.9% | +0.3% | −18.1% | +7.7% | −1.5% | −6.2% | +6.0% | −5.8% | −18.4% | −31.7% | ||
| 2025 | −7.0% | −6.0% | +7.3% | −6.2% |
| −16.3% |
| −36.8% |
| −24.5% |
| 6M | −27.0% | −59.2% | −43.9% |
|---|
Past prices, a fixed rule and simple costs. Not a recommendation. Short selling in Korea has extra rules and costs and may not be available to you.
Source: KRX statistical information
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