Monthly wrap · July 2026 · 22 trading days
KOSPI falls 22.2% in July, its worst month since 2008, as chip peak-out fears hit SK hynix and Samsung
KOSPI−22.2%KOSDAQ−21.4%KOSPI 200−23.6%July was the worst month for the KOSPI since October 2008. The index fell 22.2% to 6595.45 from 8476.48 at the end of June. Sources point to fears that the AI memory boom had peaked, citing slowing demand worries, weaker memory export price gains and a debate over circular AI deals. China's advancing semiconductor industry and heavy foreign selling were also cited. The shock spread to chip stocks in Japan and Taiwan and in the US.
The chain ran from memory to the rest of the chip supply chain. SK hynix fell 35.2% and Samsung Electronics 21.4%. Substrate and component makers fell harder: Samsung Electro-Mechanics fell 47.7%, LG Innotek 47.6%, Foosung 55.1% and Korea Circuit 51.4%. Chip testing and packaging names fell 30.1% as a group, and equipment and materials names fell 20.9%. A report said retail speculation had lifted some substrate names sharply in the prior week before the reversal. Individual stories also stood out. Kolon TissueGene fell 86.1% after a US phase 3 trial of TG-C missed its co-primary endpoints, and Doosan Fuel Cell fell 56.2% after weak second-quarter results. Gabia rose 58.5% on a going-private tender offer.
Why the market moved
Fears that AI memory demand had peaked, a wave of foreign selling and China's advancing chip industry drove the KOSPI down 22.2%, with a record 17.9% rebound on the final day.12345
Top themes
Oil refining & chemicals
Middle East war uncertainty lifted oil and energy stocks1
- Hyosung Chemical, Chemical maker, up 46.6%+46.61%
- S-Oil, Refiner, up 19.7%+19.65%
- SK Innovation, Refiner-linked, up 16.4%+16.44%
Tires
Gwangju plant hopes near Honam chip cluster1
- Kumho Tire, Gwangju plant redevelopment hopes+49.34%
- Hankook Tire & Technology, Tire peer, up 9.2%+9.23%
- Hankook & Company, Tire holding company, up 5.3%+5.29%
Banks
Banks gained as chip stocks sold off1
- Hana Financial Group, Bank, up 9.4%+9.43%
- KB Financial Group, Biggest bank, up 6.0%+5.98%
- Shinhan Financial Group, Bank, up 5.1%+5.13%
The big stories
KOSPI's worst month since 2008 as chip peak-out fears hit
Fears that AI memory demand had peaked, plus foreign selling and the China semiconductor push, drove a July selloff in which KOSPI fell 22.19% and SK hynix fell 35.18% and Samsung Electronics fell 21.41% on the month. Retail investors sold a record amount while foreigners bought heavily in the rebound.12345678910
Directly affected
- HBM & AI chips−29.4%SK hynix and Samsung memory stocks led the drop on AI memory peak-out fearsSamsung Electronics −21.4%SK hynix −35.2%Hanmi Semiconductor −16.4%HVM −39.6%
- AI software & services−0.9%Doubts over AI demand and circular deal controversy hit AI investment sentimentNAVER +4.5%SK Telecom −7.9%Samsung SDS +7.9%Kakao +8.2%
Next in line
- Foundry & chip design−15.7%Chip stocks including TSMC and MediaTek were hit by the same selloffDB HiTek −42.4%Fadu −27.5%SemiFive −23.3%Dongwoon Anatech −19.8%
- Semiconductor equipment & materials−20.2%Tokyo Electron and other equipment names fell with the chip selloffHanmi Semiconductor −16.4%Jusung Engineering −38.1%Wonik IPS −41.9%PSK −33.9%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics and substrate makers plunge
Samsung Electro-Mechanics fell 47.70% and substrate-linked names such as Foosung (-55.12%) and Korea Circuit (-51.36%) also crashed in July as the chip downturn fears spread. Analysts said retail speculation in these names had lifted them sharply in the prior week before the reversal.12345678
Directly affected
- Chip testing & packaging−30.1%Semiconductor substrate makers led the declineLeeno Industrial −23.7%Simmtech −44.2%ISC −28.6%Jeju Semiconductor −37.3%
Next in line
- HBM & AI chips−29.4%Substrates used in AI memory and chip packages fell with the memory selloffSamsung Electronics −21.4%SK hynix −35.2%Hanmi Semiconductor −16.4%HVM −39.6%
Kolon TissueGene shares fall 86% after TG-C trial miss
Kolon TissueGene dropped 86.11% in July after the first US phase 3 trial of its knee osteoarthritis therapy TG-C failed to meet its co-primary endpoints. It was the largest decline among the 2,645 listed stocks, and the stock then hit limit-down for four straight sessions.1234
Directly affected
- Biotech (new drugs)−14.9%Phase 3 trial failure for a new cell gene therapy drugAlteogen −14.5%Kolon TissueGene −86.1%HLB −41.2%SK biopharmaceuticals −8.8%
Doosan Fuel Cell sinks 56% on weak Q2 results
Doosan Fuel Cell fell 56.16% in July after weak second-quarter results, with the company expected to face stack replacement costs again in the second half. Analysts kept Hold ratings while raising target prices, and the stock fell further on no new disclosed news.12345
Directly affected
- Hydrogen−33.5%Fuel cell maker hit by weak earnings and stack replacement costsDoosan Enerbility −22.7%Doosan Fuel Cell −56.2%Bumhan Fuel Cell −41.5%Doosan Fuel Cell Pref. −35.5%
Gabia jumps 58.5% on tender offer for going-private
Gabia closed up 58.52% after DCK Investment, a Macquarie Asset Management private equity vehicle, launched a tender offer at 48,000 won per share to take the company private. Market commentary linked the move to Macquarie's response to activist fund Align Partners' governance demands.12345
Directly affected
- Value-up (low P/B, shareholder returns)+15.9%Going-private tender offer and governance pressure from an activist fundWoori Financial Group +15.9%
Kumho Tire surges 49% on Gwangju plant hopes
Kumho Tire closed up 49.34% in July as hopes grew that its Gwangju plant would be relocated or redeveloped near the planned Honam semiconductor mega-cluster. The company reported Q2 revenue of 1.3328 trillion won and operating profit of 182.2 billion won.123456
Directly affected
- Tires+3.1%Tire maker rallied on its Gwangju plant land and redevelopment prospectsHankook Tire & Technology +9.2%Hankook & Company +5.3%Kumho Tire +49.3%Nexen Tire −9.0%
The market
KOSPI closed July at 6595.45, down 22.2%. KOSDAQ fell 21.4% to 719.76 and the KOSPI 200 fell 23.6% to 1046.81. Sources say circuit breakers triggered four times during the month, including two straight days on both markets for the first time, and sidecars rang 15 times on the KOSPI. On the last trading day the KOSPI rose 17.9%, its largest one-day gain on record, after Samsung Electronics and SK hynix earnings and Amazon's confirmation of AI infrastructure demand. Of 2,764 stocks, 2,333 rose, 268 fell and 163 were flat on the final-day measure; trading value was about ₩55.0 trillion versus a ₩41.8 trillion average. The won strengthened 6.5% to 1441.1 per dollar and the 3-year KTB yield was 3.758%, up 5.5 basis points.
2,333 stocks rose, 268 fell · trading value ₩55T
Themes investors follow
Most themes fell. Hydrogen fell 33.5%, chip testing and packaging 30.1%, HBM and AI chips 29.4%, self-driving 27.7%, ADC and cancer drugs 22.2%, space and aerospace 21.3% and semiconductor equipment 20.9%. Battery materials fell 18.6%, AI power and transformers 18.5%, EV batteries 17.2%, robots 14.2%, power grid and cables 13.5%, K-defense 11.0% and shipbuilding 8.7%. Gainers were shipping and logistics (+8.4%), K-beauty (+4.3%), oil, refining and chemicals (+4.0%), LNG and gas (+3.6%) and tires (+3.1%). Within them STX Green Logis rose 64.4%, Hyosung Chemical 46.6%, S-Oil 19.7%, Amorepacific 23.0% and LG H&H 25.0%. Kumho Tire rose 49.3% on hopes tied to its Gwangju plant near the planned Honam semiconductor cluster.
Popular themes
- AI software & services−0.2%
- HBM & AI chips−29.4%
- Semiconductor equipment & materials−20.9%
- Robots & humanoids−14.2%
- Power grid & cables−13.5%
- AI power & transformers−18.5%
- Solar & wind−17.6%
- Hydrogen−33.5%
- EV batteries−17.2%
- K-defense−11.0%
- Shipbuilding−8.7%
- Space & aerospace−21.3%
- Biotech (new drugs)−14.6%
- K-beauty+4.3%
- K-pop & entertainment−6.0%
Best themes
- Shipping & logistics+8.4%STX Green Logis +64.4% · Panstar Enterprise +23.4% · HAN Express +19.6%
- K-beauty+4.3%J2KBIO +26.2% · LG H&H +25.0% · Amorepacific +23.0%
- Oil, refining & chemicals+4.0%Hyosung Chemical +46.6% · S-Oil +19.7% · SH Energy & Chemical +16.6%
- LNG & gas+3.6%E1 +10.7% · Korea Gas +7.8% · Kyungdong City Gas +7.8%
- Tires+3.1%Kumho Tire +49.3% · Hankook Tire & Technology +9.2% · Hankook & Company +5.3%
- Games+2.5%Com2uS N +47.0% · Thumbage +42.2% · Com2us +13.6%
Worst themes
- Hydrogen−33.5%Doosan Fuel Cell −56.2% · Bumhan Fuel Cell −41.5% · Doosan Fuel Cell Pref. −35.5%
- Chip testing & packaging−30.1%Mirae −45.1% · Doosan Tesna −44.9% · Simmtech −44.2%
- HBM & AI chips−29.4%HVM −39.6% · SK hynix −35.2% · Atlas Link −34.6%
- Self-driving−27.7%StradVision −64.6% · Nextchip −32.6% · HL Mando −8.8%
- ADC & cancer drugs−22.2%LigaChem Biosciences −41.6% · ABL Bio −32.9% · HLB Therapeutics −28.3%
- Space & aerospace−21.3%Nara Space Technology −36.5% · Innospace −31.9% · Kencoa Aerospace −30.0%
The biggest companies
Samsung Electronics fell 21.4% (market value about ₩1,534.6 trillion) and SK hynix fell 35.2% (about ₩1,255.0 trillion). Sources note Samsung reported second-quarter operating profit of ₩89.4 trillion on July 7, yet shares still fell, and SK hynix results missed expectations. SK Square fell 38.8%, Samsung Electro-Mechanics 47.7%, Hyundai Motor 21.6%, LG Energy Solution 9.4%, Samsung Life 22.3%, Samsung C&T 25.0%, HD Hyundai Heavy 18.7% and Hanwha Aerospace 7.8%, KIA 4.4%. Rising were Samsung Biologics (+6.8%), KB Financial (+6.0%), Shinhan Financial (+5.1%) and Celltrion (+7.7%).
- Samsung Electronics−21.4%
- SK hynix−35.2%
- SK Square−38.8%
- Samsung Electro-Mechanics−47.7%
- Hyundai Motor−21.6%
- LG Energy Solution−9.4%
- Samsung Biologics+6.8%
- Samsung Life Insurance−22.3%
- KB Financial Group+6.0%
- Samsung C&T−25.0%
- KIA−4.4%
- HD Hyundai Heavy Industries−18.7%
- Hanwha Aerospace−7.8%
- Shinhan Financial Group+5.1%
- Celltrion+7.7%
Who was buying and selling
Foreign investors net sold about ₩9.9 trillion on the KOSPI and bought about ₩79 billion on KOSDAQ. They sold SK hynix (about ₩7.0 trillion) and Samsung Electronics (about ₩6.0 trillion), and bought LG Innotek (about ₩805.7 billion), Samsung Electronics Pref. and Hanmi Semiconductor. A source said foreigners bought ₩7.2 trillion of the KOSPI in the rebound while retail sold a record ₩8.3 trillion. Retail bought SK hynix (about ₩9.0 trillion) and Samsung Electronics (about ₩5.0 trillion) over the month. Institutions bought Samsung Electronics (about ₩988.3 billion), KB Financial and Isupetasys, and sold SK hynix (about ₩2.6 trillion) and Samsung Electro-Mechanics.
Foreign investors
Net bought
- 1LG Innotek+₩806B−47.6%
- 2Samsung Electronics Pref.+₩409B−9.9%
- 3Hanmi Semiconductor+₩375B−16.4%
- 4DB HiTek+₩348B−42.4%
- 5Leeno Industrial+₩310B−23.7%
- 6ISC+₩240B−28.6%
- 7Hyundai-Rotem+₩240B−22.7%
- 8Hyundai Motor+₩239B−21.6%
- 9Mirae Asset Securities+₩221B−19.2%
- 10Hyundai Mobis+₩214B−4.8%
- 11Shinsegae+₩187B−44.0%
- 12KIA+₩183B−4.4%
- 13Samsung Life Insurance+₩181B−22.3%
- 14EO Technics+₩165B−37.8%
- 15Samsung C&T+₩143B−25.0%
Net sold
- 1SK hynix−₩7T−35.2%
- 2Samsung Electronics−₩6T−21.4%
- 3KB Financial Group−₩493B+6.0%
- 4Isupetasys−₩375B−35.4%
- 5SK Telecom−₩313B−7.9%
- 6Hanwha Ocean−₩208B−15.1%
- 7Korea Aerospace Industries−₩193B−13.0%
- 8DB Insurance−₩171B+17.3%
- 9Rainbow Robotics−₩150B−16.6%
- 10PSK−₩147B−33.9%
- 11Wonik IPS−₩141B−41.9%
- 12OCI Holdings−₩139B−11.3%
- 13Hanwha Solutions−₩133B−24.9%
- 14PharmaResearch−₩132B−6.7%
- 15LS−₩129B−26.9%
Institutions
Net bought
- 1Samsung Electronics+₩988B−21.4%
- 2KB Financial Group+₩665B+6.0%
- 3Isupetasys+₩505B−35.4%
- 4SK Innovation+₩458B+16.4%
- 5SK Telecom+₩367B−7.9%
- 6Celltrion+₩364B+7.7%
- 7Samsung Biologics+₩353B+6.8%
- 8Samsung Electronics Pref.+₩352B−9.9%
- 9Jusung Engineering+₩335B−38.1%
- 10PharmaResearch+₩301B−6.7%
- 11S-Oil+₩298B+19.7%
- 12NAVER+₩275B+4.5%
- 13Hana Financial Group+₩231B+9.4%
- 14Korea Aerospace Industries+₩228B−13.0%
- 15Shinhan Financial Group+₩226B+5.1%
Net sold
- 1SK hynix−₩2.6T−35.2%
- 2Samsung Electro-Mechanics−₩917B−47.7%
- 3LG Innotek−₩740B−47.6%
- 4Hanmi Semiconductor−₩326B−16.4%
- 5DB HiTek−₩321B−42.4%
- 6Leeno Industrial−₩309B−23.7%
- 7HPSP−₩286B−35.9%
- 8EO Technics−₩227B−37.8%
- 9ISC−₩218B−28.6%
- 10Hyundai-Rotem−₩202B−22.7%
- 11Shinsegae−₩140B−44.0%
- 12Hyundai Department Store−₩125B−38.7%
- 13Hyosung Heavy Industries−₩119B−29.7%
- 14Soulbrain−₩103B−30.9%
- 15Samsung Life Insurance−₩88B−22.3%
Retail investors
Net bought
- 1SK hynix+₩9T−35.2%
- 2Samsung Electronics+₩5T−21.4%
- 3Samsung Electro-Mechanics+₩806B−47.7%
- 4HPSP+₩224B−35.9%
- 5Hanwha Ocean+₩203B−15.1%
- 6Hanwha Solutions+₩153B−24.9%
- 7Wonik IPS+₩146B−41.9%
- 8LS Electric+₩127B−22.4%
- 9Rainbow Robotics+₩125B−16.6%
- 10LG Display+₩94B−20.1%
- 11SAM Chun Dang Pharm+₩88B−33.8%
- 12OCI Holdings+₩66B−11.3%
- 13Hyundai Motor 2nd Pref.+₩61B−6.7%
- 14Taihan Cable & Solution+₩59B−31.6%
- 15Peptron+₩59B−30.7%
Net sold
- 1Samsung Electronics Pref.−₩773B−9.9%
- 2Celltrion−₩427B+7.7%
- 3Samsung Biologics−₩362B+6.8%
- 4Hyundai Mobis−₩322B−4.8%
- 5NAVER−₩311B+4.5%
- 6Hyundai Motor−₩309B−21.6%
- 7SK Innovation−₩294B+16.4%
- 8S-Oil−₩284B+19.7%
- 9LG Electronics−₩243B−20.2%
- 10Jusung Engineering−₩239B−38.1%
- 11KIA−₩219B−4.4%
- 12SK Square−₩205B−38.8%
- 13Kakao−₩197B+8.2%
- 14Meritz Financial Group−₩190B+17.5%
- 15Amorepacific−₩182B+23.0%
ETFs
KODEX WTI Crude Oil Futures (H) rose 17.6%, the best ETF, followed by bank and high-dividend funds: KODEX Banks (+7.0%), TIGER Banks (+6.9%) and SOL Financial Holdings Plus High Dividend (+6.1%). The worst were semiconductor and space funds, with SOL AI Semiconductor TOP2 Plus down 38.2% and KODEX US Space Aerospace down 37.8%. A source said an SK hynix single-stock leveraged ETF fell 67%. Money held up in banks, dividends and oil while chip funds fell.
Best ETFs
- KODEX WTI Crude Oil Futures (H)+17.6%
- KODEX Banks+7.0%
- TIGER Banks+6.9%
- SOL Financial Holdings Plus High Dividend+6.1%
- TIGER Bank High Dividend Plus TOP10+5.4%
- KODEX Shareholder Return High Dividend Stock+5.0%
- KODEX 200 Long KOSDAQ 150 Short Futures+4.8%
- KODEX Finance High Dividend TOP10 Target Weekly Covered Call+4.7%
- SOL US Dividend Dow Jones (H)+4.7%
- PLUS Treasury Stock Buyback High Dividend+4.7%
- KODEX Financial High Dividend TOP10+4.7%
- PLUS High Dividend Stock Weekly Covered Call+4.4%
- TIGER Cosmetics+3.8%
- PLUS High Dividend Stock Weekly Fixed Covered Call+3.8%
- KODEX High Dividend Stock+3.7%
Worst ETFs
- SOL AI Semiconductor TOP2 Plus−38.2%
- KODEX US Space Aerospace−37.8%
- KODEX China AI Tech Active−36.3%
- ACE K Semiconductor TOP2+−36.2%
- KODEX China AI Semiconductor TOP10−36.1%
- TIGER China Semiconductor FACTSET−36.1%
- KODEX Asia AI Semiconductor exChina Active−36.1%
- SOL Semiconductor Front-End Process−36.0%
- TIGER US Space Tech−36.0%
- TIGER AI Semiconductor Core Process−35.7%
- UNICORN SK Hynix Value Chain Active−35.1%
- RISE Network Infrastructure−34.7%
- 1Q K Semiconductor TOP2+−34.6%
- KODEX AI Semiconductor TOP2 Plus−34.5%
- TIME KOSDAQ Active−34.3%
Leveraged and inverse ETFs are left out; moves are the daily moves compounded.
How our signals did
There were no Squeeze! setups in July. Of 40 technical events, 17 worked. Xi S&D's long golden cross on July 21 was followed by a 52.2% gain, and Korea Aerospace Industries' breakdown on July 29 was followed by a 9.9% fall. Samsung Biologics' golden cross on July 24 was followed by a 10.3% decline. Short squeeze scores were highest at 60 for Meritz Financial Group, Hanssem and ISU Specialty Chemical, followed by SM Entertainment at 58 and KMW at 58. No pair trades were flagged.
Notable technical signals
40 notable signals: 17 moved the way they pointed so far.
- Samsung Biologics ▲ Jul 24−10.3%
- Xi S&D ▲ Jul 21+52.2%
- HLB ▼ Jul 14+54.7%
- Koses ▼ Jul 6+40.0%
- Korea Aerospace Industries ▼ Jul 29−9.9%
- Uniquest Coporation ▼ Jul 29+174.5%
- Robotis ▼ Jul 31+26.2%
- KT ▼ Jul 15−8.6%
Highest short squeeze scores
- Meritz Financial Group60was 55
- Hanssem60was 47
- ISU Specialty Chemical60was 52
- SM Entertainment58was 53
- KMW58was 60
Signals describe past prices. Results run from the signal to the latest close; they are not recommendations.
Written by AI from JONBUR's data and checked against those figures. Index and stock moves are the daily moves compounded over the period. Reasons come only from the linked daily wraps, news, filings and broker reports; when none gives a reason, we say so. Not financial advice.
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