JONBUR Research · Update note
Doosan Enerbility · 034020 · Machinery
Doosan Enerbility: Czech nuclear plant construction contract not finalized, per press report
Why this report
Written after:
A Money Today headline on 2026-10-29 says KHNP, Daewoo E&C and Doosan Enerbility failed to finalize the Czech nuclear plant construction contract. The article text and contract terms are not available to us, so the effect on Doosan Enerbility's business cannot be sized.
Written Oct 29, 2026 · Data as of Oct 28, 2026 · 0 views
This is not financial advice. The report does not recommend buying or selling anything.
What happened
On 2026-10-29 Money Today ran the headline: KHNP-Daewoo E&C, Doosan Enerbility Fail to Finalize Czech Nuclear Plant Construction Contract. No filing excerpts accompany the event, and the data does not give the contract's value, Doosan Enerbility's share of it, the reason for the delay or any new deadline. We do not know whether the company has commented.
The latest price in our data is ₩61,400 on 2026-10-28, before the headline. The shares were down 25.1% over one month and 28.9% over one year, and sat 55.9% below the 52-week high of ₩139,200 and 7.7% above the 52-week low of ₩57,000. Over the 20 days to that date foreigners were net sellers of about ₩298.6B and institutions net sellers of about ₩78.3B, while retail investors were net buyers of about ₩375.8B. Foreign ownership was 22.3%, down from 24.1% sixty days earlier. The short balance was 1.2%.
As background, filings in October included an amended major sales or supply contract disclosure on 2026-10-26, and several earlier ones. Their contents are not in the data.
What it changes for the thesis
The previous report on 2026-10-13 described a large machinery company with growing revenue but thin profitability, and said the recent share price fall was unexplained. This headline may be one piece of context for investor caution, but the data does not show that it explains the fall, and the fall began before this report. The report's central points are unchanged: trailing revenue of ₩17.7T, operating margin of 5.1%, net margin of 1.0% and weak free cash flow of ₩28.9B.
What is unknown matters here. If the Czech contract is a material part of expected orders, a delay could affect the revenue outlook. The data gives no order backlog or contract size, so we cannot say how much. The headline reports a contract not finalized, not a cancellation, and we have no information on the outcome.
What it changes for the valuation
The previous report had no model estimate. The model now gives a range based on the assumptions shown, with a discount rate of 8.7% and trailing figures to the first half of 2026: bear ₩0, base ₩7,102, bull ₩22,573 per share. This is a model estimate based on the assumptions shown, not a price target. It sits well below the ₩61,400 share price, which reflects how thin trailing profit and free cash flow are against a market value of ₩39.3T. The range is very wide, so it is highly sensitive to assumptions, and it does not include any Czech contract outcome.
Current multiples are a P/E of 217.2, P/B of 4.8 and P/S of 2.2, with a dividend yield of 0.0%. These are lower than at the previous report, mainly because the price fell. EV/EBITDA is not available. Peers in the data are mostly not power-equipment companies, so the comparison is of limited use.
Closing view
The headline is a potentially important negative for sentiment, but the facts are thin: no contract value, no reason for the delay and no company statement in our data. Fundamentals have not changed since the previous report, which showed modest margins and a high earnings multiple. The model estimate is far below the market price and very wide, so it is best read as a sign of how much the valuation depends on future earnings growth, not as a precise figure. Further news or filings on the Czech contract would be needed to judge whether this changes the picture.
Model estimate of fair value
- Bear
- ₩0
- -100%
- Base
- ₩7,102
- -87%
- Bull
- ₩22,573
- -59%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Base case of the 5-year discounted cash flow model on the stock's Valuation tab (statements TTM to H1 2026; discount rate 8.7%). Bear and Bull move the main assumptions by fixed steps. See and change the assumptions
Filings and data used
- KHNP-Daewoo E&C, Doosan Enerbility Fail to Finalize Czech Nuclear Plant Construction ContractOct 29, 2026
- Related-party transactionOct 27, 2026
- Amended: Major sales or supply contractOct 26, 2026
- Investor relations (IR) eventOct 22, 2026
- Advance Notice of Earnings Results Disclosure (Informational Disclosure)Oct 22, 2026
- Other management mattersOct 14, 2026
- Other management mattersOct 14, 2026
- Amended: Major sales or supply contractOct 6, 2026
- Major sales or supply contractOct 1, 2026
- 5%+ holding reportOct 1, 2026
- Investor relations (IR) eventSep 22, 2026
- Response to rumour or news reportSep 17, 2026
- Investor relations (IR) eventSep 8, 2026
- KHNP-Daewoo E&C, Doosan Enerbility Fail to Finalize Czech Nuclear Plant Construction ContractOct 29, 2026
- [Today's market schedule] Doosan Enerbility, Samsung SDS, Hanwha Aerospace and othersOct 28, 2026
- [Photo] Key Guests Examine Large Nuclear Reactor Model at Doosan EnerbilityOct 28, 2026
- Top Investors Aggressively Buy Doosan Enerbility, While Inics Continues Selling [Stock Market Top Investors Now]Oct 23, 2026
- Despite Solidigm listing halt, retail investors sold hynix; Doosan Enerbility top net buy [Stock Gurus Act Now]Oct 23, 2026
- SK hynix turns to net buying while Doosan Enerbility sees net selling [Stock Masters Now]Oct 21, 2026
- Military aircraft engine development race: Doosan Enerbility joins inOct 20, 2026
- Doosan Enerbility joins guided weapon engine development race, possibly a three-way contest with Hanwha Aerospace and Hyundai RotemOct 20, 2026
- Changwon Special City signs ₩500B investment agreement with Doosan Enerbility and two other companiesOct 20, 2026
- 두산에너빌리티·LIG D&A, 유도무기 엔진 국산화 위해 맞손Oct 20, 2026
- Daily prices up to 2026-10-28
- Financial statements, trailing 12 months as of H1 2026
- Our fair value model, statements as of TTM to H1 2026
Report history
Source: KRX statistical information