JONBUR Research · Update note
HD Hyundai · 267250 · Holding companies
HD Hyundai Q3 Operating Profit Rises 71.5% Year on Year, but Falls 29.2% From Q2
HD Hyundai reported preliminary Q3 2026 consolidated operating profit of ₩2.9T, up 71.5% year on year but down 29.2% from the prior quarter. The result supports the earnings-improvement picture in our earlier report, though net profit fell much more sharply than operating profit versus Q2.
Written Oct 28, 2026 · Data as of Oct 27, 2026 · 0 views
This is not financial advice. The report does not recommend buying or selling anything.
What happened
In the preliminary consolidated results for July to September 2026, revenue was ₩22.1T, up 21.2% year on year and down 1.5% from Q2. Operating profit was ₩2.9T, versus ₩1.7T a year earlier (+71.5%) and ₩4.1T in Q2 (-29.2%). Pre-tax profit from continuing operations was ₩2.1T, up 51.0% year on year and down 53.0% from Q2. Net profit was ₩1.4T, up 40.0% year on year and down 56.5% from Q2. Net profit attributable to owners of the parent was ₩556B, up 218.7% year on year and down 58.2% from Q2. For the first nine months, revenue was ₩64.1T (+22.0%), operating profit ₩9.9T (+139.3%), net profit ₩6.6T (+192.1%) and owners' net profit ₩2.7T (+418.2%). The filing says these figures are preliminary and may differ from final ones. News reports attribute the strength to core businesses such as shipbuilding. Background: a cash dividend decision was filed one day earlier, with no earlier dividend in the data to compare against.
What it changes for the thesis
Our earlier report described sharply improving earnings and noted that net income was far below operating income. Q3 supports the first point: nine-month operating profit is already well above the full-year 2025 level of ₩6.1T. The second point also stands. Owners' net profit was only ₩556B against operating profit of ₩2.9T, so much of the profit belongs to minority holders in subsidiaries or is lost between operating and net lines. The filing does not explain the Q3 drop from Q2 in pre-tax and net profit. The earlier report said the data could not explain the share price fall. The results do not explain it either, since profit rose year on year.
What it changes for the valuation
The model estimate is based on the assumptions shown and is not a price target. It gives ₩82,512 (bear), ₩123,767 (base) and ₩173,274 (bull) per share, using a net asset value method and a 40% rate, with data up to H1 2026, so it does not yet include Q3. The previous report had no estimate, so there is no earlier range to compare. The share price closed at ₩136,200 on 2026-10-27, above the base value and within the bear-to-bull range. This is 33.7% lower over one month and 59.1% below the 52-week high of ₩333,000. Trailing P/E is now 3.9 (4.9 earlier), P/B 0.9 (1.1) and dividend yield 2.9% (2.3%), reflecting the lower price. These multiples do not yet include Q3 results.
Closing view
The quarter shows strong year-on-year growth in revenue and operating profit, consistent with our earlier view of improving earnings. The sequential decline in operating and net profit and the small share going to the parent argue for caution. The figures are preliminary, the model has not yet absorbed them, and the data does not explain the share price move. The evidence remains mixed.
Model estimate of fair value
- Bear
- ₩82,512
- -39%
- Base
- ₩123,767
- -9%
- Bull
- ₩173,274
- +27%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Base case of the sum-of-the-parts (net asset value) model on the stock's Valuation tab (statements TTM to H1 2026; discount rate 40%). Bear and Bull move the main assumptions by fixed steps. See and change the assumptions
Filings and data used
- Preliminary earnings (consolidated)Oct 28, 2026
- Preliminary earnings (consolidated)Oct 28, 2026
- Cash dividend decisionOct 27, 2026
- Shareholder Register Closure for Cash/Stock Dividend (Record Date) DecisionOct 27, 2026
- Exchangeable bond issue decisionOct 27, 2026
- Investor relations (IR) eventOct 21, 2026
- Amended: Major sales or supply contractOct 21, 2026
- Occurrence of Serious Accident (Material Management Matter of Consolidated Subsidiary)Oct 20, 2026
- Major sales or supply contractOct 20, 2026
- Amended: Major sales or supply contractOct 6, 2026
- 5%+ holding reportOct 2, 2026
- [Amendment] Decision on Debt Guarantee to Third Party (Major Management Matters of Subsidiary)Sep 30, 2026
- HD Hyundai Q3 net profit up 40% to $1 bil.Oct 28, 2026
- HD Hyundai Oilbank Q3 Operating Profit at ₩90.9B, Up 371% from Last YearOct 28, 2026
- [Breaking] HD Hyundai Q3 Revenue ₩22T, Operating Profit ₩2.9TOct 28, 2026
- HD Hyundai Q3 operating profit ₩2.9T, up 71.5% year on year... "Strong performance in core businesses such as shipbuilding"Oct 28, 2026
- HD Hyundai Electric bets on 'eco-friendly and DC' to meet AI data center power demandOct 28, 2026
- HD Hyundai Heavy's operating profit nears ₩900B despite setbacks, up 61% year on yearOct 28, 2026
- HD Hyundai surpasses ₩6T in engine orders this year, strengthening its position in future growth businesses [Biz360]Oct 28, 2026
- HD Hyundai under Chung Ki-sun nurtures 'Strong Engine' as new growth driver… expands global customer touchpointsOct 28, 2026
- "Lower target price, only 87% upside"…HD Hyundai Electric: buy recommendation despite reports [Today's Reports]Oct 28, 2026
- [Previous Day Major Disclosures] HD Hyundai, Shinhan Financial Group, KT and othersOct 27, 2026
- Daily prices up to 2026-10-27
- Financial statements, trailing 12 months as of H1 2026
- Our fair value model, statements as of TTM to H1 2026
Report history
Source: KRX statistical information