Yuhan유한양행
000100 · KOSPI · ₩000100 · 유한양행
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,194
vs the current price (₩75,100)
- Enterprise value
- ₩115B
- Equity value
- ₩687B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 88% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩75,100, the model needs an operating margin of 16.8% every year (it uses 3.3%).
- 62% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 23.7× against a typical 44.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,113
- −98.5%
- Base
- ₩9,194
- −87.8%
- Bull
- ₩25,078
- −66.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.3%).
Revenue growth
- 7.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 28.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.3T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩139B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩518B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩84B
- Shares
- 74,764,121
- incl. 1,148,340 preferred
- Share price
- ₩75,100
- Market cap
- ₩5.6T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.9T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.4T | ₩2.6T | ₩2.7T | ₩2.8T | ₩2.9T |
| Growth | 4.7% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩57B | ₩55B | ₩104B | ₩81B | ₩86B | ₩90B | ₩94B | ₩96B |
| EBIT margin | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩41B | ₩40B | ₩76B | ₩59B | ₩62B | ₩65B | ₩68B | ₩70B |
| + Depreciation | ₩37B | ₩44B | ₩50B | ₩51B | ₩55B | ₩57B | ₩60B | ₩61B |
| − Capital spending | ₩204B | ₩134B | ₩134B | ₩193B | ₩205B | ₩216B | ₩224B | ₩231B |
| − Working capital | −₩42B | ₩106B | ₩77B | ₩47B | ₩42B | ₩37B | ₩31B | ₩24B |
| Free cash flow | −₩84B | −₩156B | −₩86B | −₩130B | −₩131B | −₩130B | −₩128B | −₩124B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩121B | −₩113B | −₩106B | −₩96B | −₩87B |
Terminal value ₩908B, worth ₩638B today: 556% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩31,931 a share)Now 2.35× | ₩64,1562.01× | ₩80,8272.53× | ₩132,8584.16× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,171 a share)Now 23.7× | ₩83,70026.4× | ₩141,58944.6× | ₩227,95571.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩768 a share)Now 97.8× | ₩20,27026.4× | ₩34,28944.6× | ₩55,20571.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩10,877 | ₩11,156 | ₩11,490 | ₩11,901 | ₩12,425 |
| 6.8% | ₩9,856 | ₩10,020 | ₩10,210 | ₩10,436 | ₩10,710 |
| 7.3% | ₩9,015 | ₩9,100 | ₩9,194 | ₩9,299 | ₩9,419 |
| 7.8% | ₩8,315 | ₩8,344 | ₩8,372 | ₩8,397 | ₩8,419 |
| 8.3% | ₩7,726 | ₩7,715 | ₩7,697 | ₩7,668 | ₩7,628 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩5.5T
- Enterprise value
- ₩5.4T
- P/E
- 23.3×
- P/B
- 2.3×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 30.4×
- Dividend yield
- 0.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩112,400 | ₩119,500 | ₩68,800 | ₩54,748 | ₩56,857 |
| Market cap | ₩8.3T | ₩8.8T | ₩5.1T | ₩4T | ₩4.2T |
| P/E | 42.6× | 124.5× | 37.2× | 44.5× | 42.2× |
| P/B | 3.5× | 4.1× | 2.4× | 2.0× | 2.2× |
| P/S | 3.8× | 4.3× | 2.7× | 2.3× | 2.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 53.5× | 88.9× | 52.6× | 52.5× | 42.7× |
| Dividend yield | 0.5% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuhan | 23.3× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.4× | 0.8% |
| Samsung Biologics | 34.7× | 8.2× | 15.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.2× | 2.5× | 9.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 76.3× | 27.5× | 58.0× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| HLB | — | 15.5× | 54.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Pharm | 24.5× | 3.8× | 3.2× | 12.7× | 0.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.2× | 7.1× | 12.1× | 12.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Yuhan / 유한양행 / 000100 / KRX:000100
Source: KRX statistical information