SP Samhwa

000390 · KOSPI · ₩000390 · SP삼화

₩6,390▼ ₩70 (1.08%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,328

vs the current price (₩6,390)

Enterprise value
₩193B
Equity value
₩118B
WACC
6.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩4,328
−32.3%
Bull
₩18,546
+190.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 21.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.01, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩628B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩83B
+ Stakes and investments
₩7.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩363M
Shares
27,203,469
Share price
₩6,390
Market cap
₩174B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩631B₩628B₩617B₩619B₩616B₩621B₩632B₩651B
Growth−2.3%−0.5%−1.8%−1.5%−0.4%0.7%1.9%3.0%
EBIT₩26B₩19B₩9.5B₩17B₩17B₩17B₩17B₩18B
EBIT margin4.1%3.0%1.5%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%
After-tax EBIT₩19B₩14B₩6.9B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩13B
+ Depreciation———₩11B₩11B₩11B₩11B₩12B
− Capital spending₩9.9B₩13B₩19B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩14B
− Working capital−₩8.3B−₩1.3B₩2.4B−₩2B−₩537M₩936M₩2.6B₩4.1B
Free cash flow———₩12B₩10B₩8.7B₩7.3B₩6B
Discount factor———0.9410.8860.8340.7850.739
Present value———₩11B₩9B₩7.3B₩5.7B₩4.5B

Terminal value ₩211B, worth ₩156B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩12,833 a share)Now 0.50×₩6,3900.50×₩7,3160.57×₩9,7030.76×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩498 a share)Now 12.8×₩5,65411.4×₩8,04116.1×₩15,45831.0×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,403 a share)Now 4.55×₩15,93111.4×₩22,65416.1×₩43,55231.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.2%₩5,539₩5,953₩6,490₩7,215₩8,255
5.7%₩4,649₩4,923₩5,264₩5,704₩6,299
6.2%₩3,931₩4,110₩4,328₩4,598₩4,946
6.7%₩3,338₩3,453₩3,589₩3,752₩3,955
7.2%₩2,840₩2,911₩2,992₩3,085₩3,197

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩174B
Enterprise value
₩254B
P/E
12.8×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
5.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,760₩6,140₩6,640₩5,880₩9,230
Market cap₩211B₩167B₩181B₩160B₩251B
P/E27.5×10.8×11.2×28.6×—
P/B0.6×0.5×0.6×0.5×0.9×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.3×0.2×0.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield4.5%5.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
SP Samhwa12.8×0.5×0.3×—5.5%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Solutions—0.5×0.3×—0.0%
Hanwha5.9×0.4×0.1×—1.5%
SKC—1.8×1.7×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: SP Samhwa / SP삼화 / 000390 / KRX:000390

Source: KRX statistical information