Bohae Brewery

000890 · KOSPI · ₩000890 · 보해양조

₩1,226▼ ₩12 (0.97%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩5.4B
Equity value
−₩12B
WACC
8.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,226, the model needs an operating margin of 6.1% every year (it uses 2.0%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩667
−45.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 6.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 22.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 1.1

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩96B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩18B
Shares
27,624,025
Share price
₩1,226
Market cap
₩34B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩93B₩88B₩90B₩95B₩96B₩97B₩99B₩102B
Growth2.5%−5.9%2.6%−0.4%0.5%1.3%2.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.8B₩2.3B₩3.8B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩2B₩2B
EBIT margin−3.0%2.6%4.2%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩2B₩1.7B₩2.8B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.5B
+ Depreciation———₩4.8B₩4.8B₩4.9B₩5B₩5.1B
− Capital spending₩4B₩3.9B₩9.1B₩6B₩6B₩6.1B₩6.3B₩6.4B
− Working capital₩1.1B₩5.4B₩4.7B−₩86M₩107M₩280M₩481M₩670M
Free cash flow———₩229M₩36M−₩135M−₩332M−₩516M
Discount factor———0.9260.8570.7930.7340.679
Present value———₩212M₩31M−₩107M−₩243M−₩351M

Terminal value ₩8.6B, worth ₩5.9B today: 108% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,317 a share)Now 0.37×₩2,1170.64×₩2,8630.86×₩4,4991.36×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.0%—————
7.5%—————
8.0%—————
8.5%—————
9.0%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩34B
Enterprise value
₩50B
P/E
10.7×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,130₩2,440₩2,705₩3,085₩4,525
Market cap₩59B₩67B₩75B₩85B₩125B
P/E16.9×10.7×———
P/B0.7×0.8×0.9×1.0×1.5×
P/S0.7×0.8×0.8×0.9×1.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Bohae Brewery10.7×0.4×0.4×—0.0%
Samyang Foods18.4×5.9×3.3×—0.4%
Orion10.5×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.0×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki16.9×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.0×0.9×0.4×6.3×4.5%
Similar companies (median)16.9×0.9×0.5×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Bohae Brewery / 보해양조 / 000890 / KRX:000890

Source: KRX statistical information