JW PharmaceuticalJW중외제약
001060 · KOSPI · ₩001060 · JW중외제약
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩52,622
vs the current price (₩23,150)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.3T
- Equity value
- ₩1.3T
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 127% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩23,150, the model needs an operating margin of 5.6% every year (it uses 11.6%).
- Or revenue growth −19.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 5.1% to 13.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 5.7× against a typical 15.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩31,891
- +37.8%
- Base
- ₩52,622
- +127.3%
- Bull
- ₩87,650
- +278.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.6%).
Revenue growth
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.33, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩821B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩17B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩32B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩2,000
- Shares
- 25,133,458
- incl. 551,924 preferred
- Share price
- ₩23,150
- Market cap
- ₩587B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩749B | ₩719B | ₩775B | ₩855B | ₩889B | ₩921B | ₩951B | ₩980B |
| Growth | 9.4% | −3.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩100B | ₩82B | ₩94B | ₩99B | ₩103B | ₩107B | ₩110B | ₩114B |
| EBIT margin | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩73B | ₩60B | ₩68B | ₩72B | ₩75B | ₩77B | ₩80B | ₩82B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| − Capital spending | ₩41B | ₩28B | ₩36B | ₩40B | ₩42B | ₩43B | ₩45B | ₩46B |
| − Working capital | ₩17B | ₩80B | −₩37B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.1B | ₩3B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩60B | ₩63B | ₩65B | ₩68B | ₩70B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.810 | 0.755 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩56B | ₩55B | ₩53B | ₩51B | ₩49B |
Terminal value ₩1.5T, worth ₩1T today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,310 a share)Now 1.42× | ₩27,5951.69× | ₩40,0532.46× | ₩55,7133.42× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,030 a share)Now 5.74× | ₩32,3128.02× | ₩61,97315.4× | ₩164,06440.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,439 a share)Now 5.22× | ₩35,5938.02× | ₩68,26615.4× | ₩180,72540.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩54,989 | ₩59,496 | ₩65,051 | ₩72,067 | ₩81,213 |
| 6.8% | ₩50,152 | ₩53,790 | ₩58,186 | ₩63,603 | ₩70,446 |
| 7.3% | ₩46,087 | ₩49,073 | ₩52,622 | ₩56,909 | ₩62,193 |
| 7.8% | ₩42,623 | ₩45,109 | ₩48,022 | ₩51,483 | ₩55,665 |
| 8.3% | ₩39,637 | ₩41,731 | ₩44,156 | ₩46,997 | ₩50,373 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩569B
- Enterprise value
- ₩564B
- P/E
- 5.6×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩25,500 | ₩24,000 | ₩35,550 | ₩18,900 | ₩22,800 |
| Market cap | ₩627B | ₩590B | ₩874B | ₩465B | ₩560B |
| P/E | 10.2× | 9.1× | 23.6× | 14.6× | — |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.8× | 3.3× | 2.1× | 3.0× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.2× | 0.7× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 1.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JW Pharmaceutical | 5.6× | 1.4× | 0.7× | — | 2.8% |
| Samsung Biologics | 31.9× | 7.6× | 13.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 79.4× | 28.6× | 60.3× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.2× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.2× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.8× | 11.4× | 30.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: JW Pharmaceutical / JW중외제약 / 001060 / KRX:001060
Source: KRX statistical information