JW Pharmaceutical

001060 · KOSPI · ₩001060 · JW중외제약

₩23,150▼ ₩50 (0.22%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩52,622

vs the current price (₩23,150)

Enterprise value
₩1.3T
Equity value
₩1.3T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 127% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩23,150, the model needs an operating margin of 5.6% every year (it uses 11.6%).
  • Or revenue growth −19.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 5.1% to 13.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 5.7× against a typical 15.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩31,891
+37.8%
Base
₩52,622
+127.3%
Bull
₩87,650
+278.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 9.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.33, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩821B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩17B
+ Stakes and investments
₩32B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩2,000
Shares
25,133,458
incl. 551,924 preferred
Share price
₩23,150
Market cap
₩587B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩749B₩719B₩775B₩855B₩889B₩921B₩951B₩980B
Growth9.4%−3.9%7.8%4.2%3.9%3.6%3.3%3.0%
EBIT₩100B₩82B₩94B₩99B₩103B₩107B₩110B₩114B
EBIT margin13.4%11.5%12.2%11.6%11.6%11.6%11.6%11.6%
After-tax EBIT₩73B₩60B₩68B₩72B₩75B₩77B₩80B₩82B
+ Depreciation———₩32B₩33B₩34B₩35B₩36B
− Capital spending₩41B₩28B₩36B₩40B₩42B₩43B₩45B₩46B
− Working capital₩17B₩80B−₩37B₩3.2B₩3.1B₩3B₩2.8B₩2.7B
Free cash flow———₩60B₩63B₩65B₩68B₩70B
Discount factor———0.9320.8690.8100.7550.703
Present value———₩56B₩55B₩53B₩51B₩49B

Terminal value ₩1.5T, worth ₩1T today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩16,310 a share)Now 1.42×₩27,5951.69×₩40,0532.46×₩55,7133.42×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,030 a share)Now 5.74×₩32,3128.02×₩61,97315.4×₩164,06440.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,439 a share)Now 5.22×₩35,5938.02×₩68,26615.4×₩180,72540.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩54,989₩59,496₩65,051₩72,067₩81,213
6.8%₩50,152₩53,790₩58,186₩63,603₩70,446
7.3%₩46,087₩49,073₩52,622₩56,909₩62,193
7.8%₩42,623₩45,109₩48,022₩51,483₩55,665
8.3%₩39,637₩41,731₩44,156₩46,997₩50,373

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩569B
Enterprise value
₩564B
P/E
5.6×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩25,500₩24,000₩35,550₩18,900₩22,800
Market cap₩627B₩590B₩874B₩465B₩560B
P/E10.2×9.1×23.6×14.6×—
P/B1.7×1.8×3.3×2.1×3.0×
P/S0.8×0.8×1.2×0.7×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.5%1.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
JW Pharmaceutical5.6×1.4×0.7×—2.8%
Samsung Biologics31.9×7.6×13.9×—0.0%
Celltrion27.9×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen79.4×28.6×60.3×—0.1%
SK biopharmaceuticals15.2×6.0×7.1×—0.0%
Yuhan23.2×2.3×2.4×30.2×0.8%
HLB—15.4×54.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.9×6.8×11.4×30.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: JW Pharmaceutical / JW중외제약 / 001060 / KRX:001060

Source: KRX statistical information