Kumho Electric

001210 · KOSPI · ₩001210 · 금호전기

₩7,830▲ ₩310 (4.12%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩67B
Equity value
−₩68B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩7,830, the model needs an operating margin of 18.6% every year (it uses −12.1%).
  • Margins ranged from −25.6% to −2.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−12.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -12.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩42B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩1B
Shares
12,626,599
Share price
₩7,830
Market cap
₩99B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩53B₩53B₩44B₩41B₩41B₩41B₩42B₩43B
Growth16.0%−0.4%−16.6%−1.2%−0.2%0.9%1.9%3.0%
EBIT−₩8.2B−₩5B−₩1.2B−₩5B−₩5B−₩5B−₩5.1B−₩5.3B
EBIT margin−15.4%−9.3%−2.7%−12.1%−12.1%−12.1%−12.1%−12.1%
After-tax EBIT−₩6B−₩3.6B−₩858M−₩3.6B−₩3.6B−₩3.6B−₩3.7B−₩3.8B
+ Depreciation———₩206M₩205M₩207M₩211M₩217M
− Capital spending₩519M₩166M₩328M₩288M₩287M₩290M₩295M₩304M
− Working capital−₩12B−₩1B−₩3.8B−₩31M−₩5.2M₩23M₩50M₩80M
Free cash flow———−₩3.7B−₩3.7B−₩3.7B−₩3.8B−₩4B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8080.7530.702
Present value———−₩3.4B−₩3.2B−₩3B−₩2.9B−₩2.8B

Terminal value −₩74B, worth −₩52B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,117 a share)Now 3.70×₩3,8011.80×₩4,9112.32×₩12,1785.75×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%—————
6.8%—————
7.3%—————
7.8%—————
8.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩99B
Enterprise value
₩99B
P/E
—
P/B
3.7×
P/S
2.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,605₩4,700₩4,150₩4,600₩17,700
Market cap₩33B₩59B₩52B₩58B₩223B
P/E—————
P/B1.4×2.7×2.5×2.4×7.3×
P/S0.7×1.1×1.0×1.3×5.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kumho Electric—3.7×2.4×—0.0%
LS Electric63.5×11.6×4.3×39.3×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries31.8×7.2×2.9×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric19.6×7.4×3.8×—0.0%
Gaon Cable117.0×14.2×2.6×61.1×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.9×7.6×8.5×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.3×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)31.8×7.5×3.4×50.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kumho Electric / 금호전기 / 001210 / KRX:001210

Source: KRX statistical information