SeAH Besteel Holdings세아베스틸지주
001430 · KOSPI · ₩001430 · 세아베스틸지주
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩11,007
vs the current price (₩28,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.5T
- Equity value
- ₩395B
- WACC
- 5.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 61% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩28,400, the model needs an operating margin of 4.3% every year (it uses 3.4%).
- Or revenue growth +14.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 11.5× against a typical 8.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩11,007
- −61.2%
- Bull
- ₩95,686
- +236.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.4%).
Revenue growth
- -5.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 25.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩3.9T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩1.2T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩64B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩11B
- Shares
- 35,862,119
- Share price
- ₩28,400
- Market cap
- ₩1T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩4.1T | ₩3.6T | ₩3.7T | ₩3.7T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.6T |
| Growth | −6.9% | −11.0% | 0.4% | −5.9% | −3.7% | −1.5% | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩197B | ₩52B | ₩98B | ₩124B | ₩120B | ₩118B | ₩119B | ₩123B |
| EBIT margin | 4.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩143B | ₩38B | ₩71B | ₩90B | ₩87B | ₩86B | ₩86B | ₩89B |
| + Depreciation | ₩103B | ₩113B | ₩118B | ₩110B | ₩106B | ₩104B | ₩105B | ₩108B |
| − Capital spending | ₩143B | ₩167B | ₩202B | ₩165B | ₩159B | ₩156B | ₩158B | ₩162B |
| − Working capital | ₩35B | −₩225B | ₩98B | −₩59B | −₩35B | −₩14B | ₩7.1B | ₩27B |
| Free cash flow | ₩67B | ₩208B | −₩111B | ₩94B | ₩69B | ₩47B | ₩27B | ₩7.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.948 | 0.898 | 0.851 | 0.807 | 0.765 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩89B | ₩62B | ₩40B | ₩22B | ₩6B |
Terminal value ₩1.7T, worth ₩1.3T today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩55,195 a share)Now 0.51× | ₩17,8260.32× | ₩23,3800.42× | ₩44,9500.81× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,472 a share)Now 11.5× | ₩8,4493.42× | ₩20,6018.33× | ₩66,04426.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5% | ₩18,471 | ₩22,577 | ₩28,274 | ₩36,743 | ₩50,725 |
| 5.0% | ₩11,999 | ₩14,675 | ₩18,204 | ₩23,096 | ₩30,363 |
| 5.5% | ₩6,969 | ₩8,749 | ₩11,007 | ₩13,981 | ₩18,097 |
| 6.0% | ₩2,951 | ₩4,144 | ₩5,609 | ₩7,464 | ₩9,902 |
| 6.5% | — | ₩464 | ₩1,413 | ₩2,576 | ₩4,042 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.2T
- P/E
- 11.5×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 9.2×
- Dividend yield
- 4.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩50,200 | ₩19,760 | ₩24,850 | ₩16,300 | ₩19,900 |
| Market cap | ₩1.8T | ₩709B | ₩891B | ₩585B | ₩714B |
| P/E | 32.0× | 35.0× | 6.9× | 6.4× | 3.8× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.1× | 9.0× | 5.6× | 6.0× | 4.0× |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 6.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeAH Besteel Holdings | 11.5× | 0.5× | 0.3× | 9.2× | 4.2% |
| POSCO Holdings | 16.1× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 7.7× | 3.7% |
| Korea Zinc | 18.6× | 1.6× | 0.9× | — | 2.3% |
| Hyundai Steel | — | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 1.9% |
| Poongsan | 8.0× | 0.7× | 0.3× | 5.9× | 3.0% |
| Sama Aluminium | — | 4.0× | 2.9× | — | 0.0% |
| HVM | 1,211.5× | 5.4× | 8.4× | 59.0× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.3× | 1.1× | 0.6× | 7.7× | 2.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SeAH Besteel Holdings / 세아베스틸지주 / 001430 / KRX:001430
Source: KRX statistical information