Taihan Cable & Solution대한전선
001440 · KOSPI · ₩001440 · 대한전선
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,354
vs the current price (₩20,500)
- Enterprise value
- ₩852B
- Equity value
- ₩461B
- WACC
- 9.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 89% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩20,500, the model needs an operating margin of 9.5% every year (it uses 3.0%).
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩4.6T, operating profit ₩197B (4.3% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩5.1T, operating profit ₩225B (4.4% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩2,354
- −88.5%
- Bull
- ₩10,834
- −47.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.0%).
Revenue growth
- 14.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 1.07
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩4.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩362B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.4B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩32B
- Shares
- 195,992,596
- Share price
- ₩20,500
- Market cap
- ₩4T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2.8T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.6T | ₩4.7T | ₩5.3T | ₩5.7T | ₩6T | ₩6.2T |
| Growth | 16.1% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩80B | ₩115B | ₩129B | ₩142B | ₩158B | ₩171B | ₩181B | ₩187B |
| EBIT margin | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩58B | ₩83B | ₩93B | ₩103B | ₩115B | ₩124B | ₩131B | ₩135B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩166B | ₩184B | ₩200B | ₩212B | ₩218B |
| − Capital spending | ₩130B | ₩130B | ₩161B | ₩203B | ₩226B | ₩246B | ₩260B | ₩268B |
| − Working capital | −₩72B | −₩6.9B | ₩113B | ₩91B | ₩83B | ₩69B | ₩51B | ₩28B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩26B | −₩10B | ₩9.2B | ₩32B | ₩57B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.913 | 0.834 | 0.762 | 0.696 | 0.636 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩23B | −₩8.7B | ₩7B | ₩22B | ₩37B |
Terminal value ₩1.3T, worth ₩818B today: 96% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,601 a share)Now 2.14× | ₩15,4551.61× | ₩27,6222.88× | ₩78,1468.14× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | ₩2,962 | ₩3,091 | ₩3,237 | ₩3,405 | ₩3,600 |
| 9.0% | ₩2,555 | ₩2,653 | ₩2,763 | ₩2,887 | ₩3,029 |
| 9.5% | ₩2,199 | ₩2,273 | ₩2,354 | ₩2,445 | ₩2,548 |
| 10.0% | ₩1,884 | ₩1,939 | ₩1,999 | ₩2,065 | ₩2,138 |
| 10.5% | ₩1,603 | ₩1,644 | ₩1,687 | ₩1,733 | ₩1,784 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩4T
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.4T
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.1×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩22,900 | ₩11,150 | ₩9,157 | ₩13,581 | ₩15,390 |
| Market cap | ₩4.5T | ₩2.2T | ₩1.8T | ₩2.7T | ₩3T |
| P/E | 53.3× | 31.0× | 25.4× | 129.3× | 108.0× |
| P/B | 2.8× | 1.5× | 1.9× | 3.1× | 8.1× |
| P/S | 1.2× | 0.7× | 0.6× | 1.1× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 61.1× | 11.2× | 4.2× | 37.8× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.7× | 7.0× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 110.9× | 13.4× | 2.5× | 57.9× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 26.6× | 7.2× | 8.2× | — | 0.8% |
| Iljin Electric | 19.0× | 4.1× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.6× | 7.1× | 3.2× | 47.8× | 0.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Taihan Cable & Solution / 대한전선 / 001440 / KRX:001440
Source: KRX statistical information