BYCBYC
001460 · KOSPI · ₩001460 · BYC
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩33,759
vs the current price (₩36,150)
- Enterprise value
- ₩283B
- Equity value
- ₩284B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩21,343
- −41.0%
- Base
- ₩33,759
- −6.6%
- Bull
- ₩54,539
- +50.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (15.9%).
Revenue growth
- -1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 15.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 13.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 16.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 18.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩168B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩938M
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩151M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩42M
- Shares
- 8,400,000
- incl. 2,153,850 preferred
- Share price
- ₩36,150
- Market cap
- ₩281B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩168B | ₩165B | ₩163B | ₩166B | ₩166B | ₩167B | ₩170B | ₩175B |
| Growth | −0.8% | −1.9% | −1.2% | −1.3% | −0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩27B | ₩24B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| EBIT margin | 16.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩20B | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩20B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩23B |
| − Capital spending | ₩34B | ₩15B | ₩34B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| − Working capital | ₩17B | −₩2.3B | ₩1.3B | −₩400M | −₩61M | ₩273M | ₩581M | ₩934M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩9.4B |
Terminal value ₩325B, worth ₩227B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩67,448 a share)Now 0.54× | ₩32,3040.48× | ₩41,3160.61× | ₩53,3350.79× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,702 a share)Now 13.4× | ₩20,4047.55× | ₩35,60013.2× | ₩50,63418.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,760 a share)Now 20.5× | ₩13,2867.55× | ₩23,18213.2× | ₩32,97118.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩35,476 | ₩38,255 | ₩41,661 | ₩45,935 | ₩51,458 |
| 6.9% | ₩32,361 | ₩34,606 | ₩37,305 | ₩40,614 | ₩44,766 |
| 7.4% | ₩29,735 | ₩31,578 | ₩33,759 | ₩36,381 | ₩39,595 |
| 7.9% | ₩27,492 | ₩29,025 | ₩30,815 | ₩32,934 | ₩35,481 |
| 8.4% | ₩25,555 | ₩26,845 | ₩28,334 | ₩30,073 | ₩32,131 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩226B
- Enterprise value
- ₩225B
- P/E
- 9.9×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 1.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩42,100 | ₩29,500 | ₩42,650 | ₩36,600 | ₩45,049 |
| Market cap | ₩263B | ₩184B | ₩266B | ₩229B | ₩281B |
| P/E | 13.4× | 10.0× | 11.3× | 6.5× | 9.4× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 1.1× | 1.6× | 1.3× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.0% | 1.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: BYC / 001460 / KRX:001460
Source: KRX statistical information