KISCO Holdings

001940 · KOSPI · ₩001940 · KISCO홀딩스

₩23,200▲ ₩700 (3.11%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩218B
Equity value
−₩24B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩23,200, the model needs an operating margin of 6.8% every year (it uses 3.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −8.6% to 12.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩18,553
−20.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-23% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-23% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-23% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-23% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-23% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩899B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩65B
+ Stakes and investments
₩19B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩326B
Shares
14,176,380
Share price
₩23,200
Market cap
₩329B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.5T₩1T₩825B₩809B₩755B₩729B₩727B₩749B
Growth−14.8%−34.3%−18.5%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩149B−₩3.6B−₩71B₩24B₩23B₩22B₩22B₩22B
EBIT margin9.7%−0.4%−8.6%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
After-tax EBIT₩108B−₩2.6B−₩51B₩18B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩18B₩17B₩16B₩16B₩16B
− Capital spending₩11B₩43B₩29B₩23B₩21B₩20B₩20B₩21B
− Working capital₩125B−₩66B−₩61B−₩36B−₩22B−₩11B−₩583M₩8.7B
Free cash flow———₩49B₩34B₩22B₩12B₩3.1B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩45B₩29B₩18B₩9B₩2.1B

Terminal value ₩163B, worth ₩114B today: 52% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩79,359 a share)Now 0.29×₩17,1570.22×₩21,4330.27×₩25,7580.32×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩352 a share)Now 65.9×₩7011.99×₩1,2353.51×₩6,34418.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩1,645₩1,250₩748₩98—
6.9%₩386————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩329B
Enterprise value
₩264B
P/E
—
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
8.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩25,150₩19,960₩23,800₩15,650₩14,550
Market cap₩357B₩283B₩337B₩222B₩206B
P/E—8.7×3.7×2.8×1.8×
P/B0.3×0.2×0.3×0.2×0.2×
P/S0.4×0.3×0.2×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield7.4%9.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KISCO Holdings—0.3×0.4×—8.0%
POSCO Holdings16.6×0.4×0.3×7.8×3.5%
Korea Zinc18.9×1.6×0.9×—2.2%
Hyundai Steel—0.2×0.2×—1.9%
Poongsan8.3×0.7×0.3×6.0×2.8%
SeAH Besteel Holdings12.6×0.6×0.3×9.6×3.8%
Sama Aluminium—4.3×3.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)14.6×0.6×0.3×7.8×2.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KISCO Holdings / KISCO홀딩스 / 001940 / KRX:001940

Source: KRX statistical information