Vivien비비안
002070 · KOSPI · ₩002070 · 비비안
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,332
vs the current price (₩3,415)
- Enterprise value
- ₩5.6B
- Equity value
- ₩16B
- WACC
- 10.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩3,332
- −2.4%
- Bull
- ₩13,185
- +286.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.4%).
Revenue growth
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -0.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 2
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 17.34, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩204B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩11B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩22B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩64M
- Shares
- 4,801,800
- Share price
- ₩3,415
- Market cap
- ₩16B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩217B | ₩235B | ₩222B | ₩207B | ₩211B | ₩215B | ₩221B | ₩228B |
| Growth | 2.0% | 8.2% | −5.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.9B | ₩1.7B | −₩5B | ₩828M | ₩843M | ₩862M | ₩884M | ₩911M |
| EBIT margin | 2.2% | 0.7% | −2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.5B | ₩1.2B | −₩3.6B | ₩601M | ₩611M | ₩625M | ₩641M | ₩660M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩91M | ₩1.8B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B |
| − Working capital | −₩5.9B | ₩22B | −₩29B | −₩8.6M | −₩11M | −₩14M | −₩17M | −₩20M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩402M | ₩412M | ₩423M | ₩437M | ₩452M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.904 | 0.818 | 0.740 | 0.669 | 0.605 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩364M | ₩337M | ₩313M | ₩292M | ₩274M |
Terminal value ₩6.7B, worth ₩4B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩18,115 a share)Now 0.19× | ₩7,3910.41× | ₩19,8131.09× | ₩39,8962.20× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | ₩3,361 | ₩3,424 | ₩3,496 | ₩3,578 | ₩3,673 |
| 10.1% | ₩3,291 | ₩3,346 | ₩3,409 | ₩3,480 | ₩3,561 |
| 10.6% | ₩3,228 | ₩3,277 | ₩3,332 | ₩3,394 | ₩3,464 |
| 11.1% | ₩3,172 | ₩3,215 | ₩3,264 | ₩3,318 | ₩3,379 |
| 11.6% | ₩3,121 | ₩3,160 | ₩3,203 | ₩3,251 | ₩3,305 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩16B
- Enterprise value
- ₩28B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,380 | ₩17,316 | ₩24,720 | ₩25,076 | ₩58,543 |
| Market cap | ₩59B | ₩83B | ₩119B | ₩120B | ₩281B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 0.7× | 1.0× | 1.3× | 1.3× | 2.7× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Vivien / 비비안 / 002070 / KRX:002070
Source: KRX statistical information