Vivien

002070 · KOSPI · ₩002070 · 비비안

₩3,415 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,332

vs the current price (₩3,415)

Enterprise value
₩5.6B
Equity value
₩16B
WACC
10.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,332
−2.4%
Bull
₩13,185
+286.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -0.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 2

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 17.34, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩204B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩11B
+ Stakes and investments
₩22B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩64M
Shares
4,801,800
Share price
₩3,415
Market cap
₩16B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩217B₩235B₩222B₩207B₩211B₩215B₩221B₩228B
Growth2.0%8.2%−5.4%1.4%1.8%2.2%2.6%3.0%
EBIT₩4.9B₩1.7B−₩5B₩828M₩843M₩862M₩884M₩911M
EBIT margin2.2%0.7%−2.2%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
After-tax EBIT₩3.5B₩1.2B−₩3.6B₩601M₩611M₩625M₩641M₩660M
+ Depreciation———₩1B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B
− Capital spending₩91M₩1.8B₩2.3B₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.4B
− Working capital−₩5.9B₩22B−₩29B−₩8.6M−₩11M−₩14M−₩17M−₩20M
Free cash flow———₩402M₩412M₩423M₩437M₩452M
Discount factor———0.9040.8180.7400.6690.605
Present value———₩364M₩337M₩313M₩292M₩274M

Terminal value ₩6.7B, worth ₩4B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩18,115 a share)Now 0.19×₩7,3910.41×₩19,8131.09×₩39,8962.20×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
9.6%₩3,361₩3,424₩3,496₩3,578₩3,673
10.1%₩3,291₩3,346₩3,409₩3,480₩3,561
10.6%₩3,228₩3,277₩3,332₩3,394₩3,464
11.1%₩3,172₩3,215₩3,264₩3,318₩3,379
11.6%₩3,121₩3,160₩3,203₩3,251₩3,305

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩16B
Enterprise value
₩28B
P/E
—
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩12,380₩17,316₩24,720₩25,076₩58,543
Market cap₩59B₩83B₩119B₩120B₩281B
P/E—————
P/B0.7×1.0×1.3×1.3×2.7×
P/S0.3×0.4×0.5×0.6×1.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Vivien—0.2×0.1×—0.0%
F&F4.5×1.1×1.2×—4.4%
LF5.6×0.4×0.3×4.6×3.2%
Chokwang Leather43.6×0.7×4.8×57.9×0.0%
Handsome7.2×0.3×0.3×—0.0%
JS4.2×0.6×0.2×—5.1%
Hansae9.3×0.4×0.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)6.4×0.5×0.3×31.2×1.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Vivien / 비비안 / 002070 / KRX:002070

Source: KRX statistical information