Kyungnong

002100 · KOSPI · ₩002100 · 경농

₩8,970▲ ₩140 (1.59%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩10,997

vs the current price (₩8,970)

Enterprise value
₩398B
Equity value
₩215B
WACC
5.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩805
−91.0%
Base
₩10,997
+22.6%
Bull
₩32,041
+257.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 7.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩364B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩158B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩28B
Shares
19,522,575
Share price
₩8,970
Market cap
₩175B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩347B₩325B₩339B₩356B₩353B₩355B₩361B₩371B
Growth−3.9%−6.4%4.3%−2.1%−0.8%0.4%1.7%3.0%
EBIT₩25B₩27B₩29B₩28B₩28B₩28B₩28B₩29B
EBIT margin7.3%8.2%8.5%7.8%7.8%7.8%7.8%7.8%
After-tax EBIT₩18B₩19B₩21B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩21B
+ Depreciation₩7.9B₩8.2B₩10B₩9.3B₩9.2B₩9.2B₩9.4B₩9.7B
− Capital spending₩4.6B₩24B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩17B
− Working capital₩7.8B−₩429M₩43B−₩3.1B−₩1.1B₩565M₩2.4B₩4.3B
Free cash flow₩14B₩3.7B−₩28B₩16B₩14B₩13B₩11B₩9.6B
Discount factor———0.9450.8930.8440.7970.754
Present value———₩16B₩13B₩11B₩8.9B₩7.2B

Terminal value ₩455B, worth ₩343B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩14,612 a share)Now 0.61×₩9,3610.64×₩10,8380.74×₩14,9611.02×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩771 a share)Now 11.6×₩3,1474.08×₩5,8757.62×₩9,91512.9×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,724 a share)Now 5.20×₩7,0404.08×₩13,1457.62×₩22,18412.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.8%₩13,332₩15,513₩18,456₩22,654₩29,139
5.3%₩10,587₩12,145₩14,163₩16,886₩20,769
5.8%₩8,416₩9,560₩10,997₩12,858₩15,367
6.3%₩6,655₩7,515₩8,566₩9,886₩11,594
6.8%₩5,200₩5,856₩6,642₩7,604₩8,811

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩175B
Enterprise value
₩332B
P/E
11.6×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
9.2×
Dividend yield
7.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,310₩9,000₩10,170₩10,100₩12,250
Market cap₩182B₩176B₩199B₩197B₩239B
P/E9.7×10.2×13.1×6.4×14.8×
P/B0.7×0.7×0.8×0.8×1.1×
P/S0.5×0.5×0.6×0.5×0.9×
EV/EBITDA7.4×6.9×7.7×5.3×12.4×
Dividend yield7.5%5.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kyungnong11.6×0.6×0.5×9.2×7.8%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.2×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.7×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.2×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.2×0.4×0.4×8.7×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kyungnong / 경농 / 002100 / KRX:002100

Source: KRX statistical information