Kyungnong경농
002100 · KOSPI · ₩002100 · 경농
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩10,997
vs the current price (₩8,970)
- Enterprise value
- ₩398B
- Equity value
- ₩215B
- WACC
- 5.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩805
- −91.0%
- Base
- ₩10,997
- +22.6%
- Bull
- ₩32,041
- +257.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.8%).
Revenue growth
- -2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩364B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩158B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.4B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩28B
- Shares
- 19,522,575
- Share price
- ₩8,970
- Market cap
- ₩175B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩347B | ₩325B | ₩339B | ₩356B | ₩353B | ₩355B | ₩361B | ₩371B |
| Growth | −3.9% | −6.4% | 4.3% | −2.1% | −0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| EBIT margin | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| + Depreciation | ₩7.9B | ₩8.2B | ₩10B | ₩9.3B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.4B | ₩9.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.6B | ₩24B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| − Working capital | ₩7.8B | −₩429M | ₩43B | −₩3.1B | −₩1.1B | ₩565M | ₩2.4B | ₩4.3B |
| Free cash flow | ₩14B | ₩3.7B | −₩28B | ₩16B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩9.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.945 | 0.893 | 0.844 | 0.797 | 0.754 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩8.9B | ₩7.2B |
Terminal value ₩455B, worth ₩343B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩14,612 a share)Now 0.61× | ₩9,3610.64× | ₩10,8380.74× | ₩14,9611.02× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩771 a share)Now 11.6× | ₩3,1474.08× | ₩5,8757.62× | ₩9,91512.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,724 a share)Now 5.20× | ₩7,0404.08× | ₩13,1457.62× | ₩22,18412.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | ₩13,332 | ₩15,513 | ₩18,456 | ₩22,654 | ₩29,139 |
| 5.3% | ₩10,587 | ₩12,145 | ₩14,163 | ₩16,886 | ₩20,769 |
| 5.8% | ₩8,416 | ₩9,560 | ₩10,997 | ₩12,858 | ₩15,367 |
| 6.3% | ₩6,655 | ₩7,515 | ₩8,566 | ₩9,886 | ₩11,594 |
| 6.8% | ₩5,200 | ₩5,856 | ₩6,642 | ₩7,604 | ₩8,811 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩175B
- Enterprise value
- ₩332B
- P/E
- 11.6×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 9.2×
- Dividend yield
- 7.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,310 | ₩9,000 | ₩10,170 | ₩10,100 | ₩12,250 |
| Market cap | ₩182B | ₩176B | ₩199B | ₩197B | ₩239B |
| P/E | 9.7× | 10.2× | 13.1× | 6.4× | 14.8× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.4× | 6.9× | 7.7× | 5.3× | 12.4× |
| Dividend yield | 7.5% | 5.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyungnong | 11.6× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 9.2× | 7.8% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.2× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.7× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.7× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Kyungnong / 경농 / 002100 / KRX:002100
Source: KRX statistical information