SytsSYTS
002170 · KOSPI · ₩002170 · SYTS
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩169,759
vs the current price (₩51,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩195B
- Equity value
- ₩509B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 233% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩51,000, the model needs an operating margin of −7.3% every year (it uses 10.0%).
- Margins ranged from 9.2% to 18.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 65% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 6.1× against a typical 9.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩146,004
- +186.3%
- Base
- ₩169,759
- +232.9%
- Bull
- ₩210,685
- +313.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.0%).
Revenue growth
- -0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 10%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩157B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩237B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩77B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 3,000,000
- Share price
- ₩51,000
- Market cap
- ₩153B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩179B | ₩191B | ₩175B | ₩156B | ₩156B | ₩158B | ₩161B | ₩166B |
| Growth | 0.3% | 6.7% | −8.7% | −0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩18B | ₩20B | ₩18B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| EBIT margin | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.4B | ₩4.2B | ₩4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩0 | ₩5.6M | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Working capital | −₩166B | −₩24B | −₩37B | −₩502M | ₩125M | ₩687M | ₩1.3B | ₩1.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩42B | ₩54B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩9.7B |
Terminal value ₩195B, worth ₩136B today: 70% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩152,904 a share)Now 0.33× | ₩50,6980.33× | ₩55,3170.36× | ₩64,0170.42× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩8,383 a share)Now 6.08× | ₩45,4565.42× | ₩80,2979.58× | ₩114,97513.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩8,643 a share)Now 5.90× | ₩46,8665.42× | ₩82,7889.58× | ₩118,54213.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩175,019 | ₩178,721 | ₩183,245 | ₩188,905 | ₩196,203 |
| 6.9% | ₩169,449 | ₩172,348 | ₩175,822 | ₩180,066 | ₩185,375 |
| 7.4% | ₩164,740 | ₩167,044 | ₩169,759 | ₩173,011 | ₩176,984 |
| 7.9% | ₩160,705 | ₩162,557 | ₩164,710 | ₩167,248 | ₩170,286 |
| 8.4% | ₩157,208 | ₩158,712 | ₩160,440 | ₩162,447 | ₩164,812 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩153B
- Enterprise value
- −₩84B
- P/E
- 6.1×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩55,800 | ₩49,700 | ₩48,550 | ₩52,800 | ₩58,000 |
| Market cap | ₩167B | ₩149B | ₩146B | ₩158B | ₩174B |
| P/E | 7.0× | 13.5× | 6.7× | 10.5× | 5.3× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | 7.8× | 4.6× |
| Dividend yield | 4.1% | 3.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Syts / SYTS / 002170 / KRX:002170
Source: KRX statistical information