Dongsung Pharmaceutical

002210 · KOSPI · ₩002210 · 동성제약

₩1,230▼ ₩10 (0.81%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩84B
Equity value
−₩86B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,230, the model needs an operating margin of 13.0% every year (it uses −6.6%).
  • Margins ranged from −11.6% to 0.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−6.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -6.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 30.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩82B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩1.1B
Shares
96,619,507
Share price
₩1,230
Market cap
₩119B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩89B₩88B₩87B₩80B₩79B₩80B₩81B₩84B
Growth−5.1%−0.2%−1.4%−2.3%−0.9%0.4%1.7%3.0%
EBIT₩596M−₩5.7B−₩10B−₩5.3B−₩5.2B−₩5.3B−₩5.4B−₩5.5B
EBIT margin0.7%−6.5%−11.6%−6.6%−6.6%−6.6%−6.6%−6.6%
After-tax EBIT₩432M−₩4.2B−₩7.3B−₩3.8B−₩3.8B−₩3.8B−₩3.9B−₩4B
+ Depreciation₩1.9B——₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.8B
− Capital spending———₩3.2B₩3.2B₩3.2B₩3.2B₩3.3B
− Working capital₩2.3B−₩6.1B−₩8.7B−₩583M−₩223M₩98M₩419M₩752M
Free cash flow———−₩4.8B−₩5.1B−₩5.4B−₩5.8B−₩6.3B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.701
Present value———−₩4.4B−₩4.4B−₩4.4B−₩4.4B−₩4.4B

Terminal value −₩89B, worth −₩62B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩906 a share)Now 1.36×₩3,0443.36×₩11,12612.3×₩14,60016.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩119B
Enterprise value
₩120B
P/E
—
P/B
1.4×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,946₩4,630₩5,760₩6,680₩8,380
Market cap₩188B₩447B₩557B₩645B₩810B
P/E—————
P/B8.0×10.2×14.0×15.1×17.4×
P/S2.2×5.1×6.3×6.9×9.6×
EV/EBITDA——239.8×——
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Dongsung Pharmaceutical—1.4×1.4×—0.0%
Samsung Biologics32.0×7.6×14.0×—0.0%
Celltrion27.9×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen80.5×29.0×61.2×—0.1%
SK biopharmaceuticals14.7×5.8×6.8×—0.0%
Yuhan24.0×2.4×2.5×31.3×0.8%
HLB—15.7×55.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.9×6.7×11.5×31.3×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Dongsung Pharmaceutical / 동성제약 / 002210 / KRX:002210

Source: KRX statistical information