PS Tec피에스텍
002230 · KOSDAQ · ₩002230 · 피에스텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,658
vs the current price (₩4,595)
- Enterprise value
- ₩19B
- Equity value
- ₩104B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,353
- −5.3%
- Base
- ₩5,658
- +23.1%
- Bull
- ₩8,134
- +77.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.1%).
Revenue growth
- 11%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 30.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.4, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩82B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩57B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩28B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 18,421,070
- Share price
- ₩4,595
- Market cap
- ₩85B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩70B | ₩81B | ₩97B | ₩91B | ₩100B | ₩107B | ₩112B | ₩115B |
| Growth | −1.9% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩851M | ₩3.4B | ₩5.3B | ₩2.8B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B |
| EBIT margin | 1.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩617M | ₩2.5B | ₩3.8B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.5B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩5.6B | ₩1.3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B |
| − Working capital | ₩917M | ₩7.6B | −₩15B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.1B | ₩1.6B | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.3B | −₩959M | −₩470M | ₩112M | ₩763M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.2B | −₩831M | −₩380M | ₩84M | ₩534M |
Terminal value ₩30B, worth ₩21B today: 110% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,033 a share)Now 0.57× | ₩4,1080.51× | ₩4,6660.58× | ₩5,4800.68× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,100 a share)Now 4.18× | ₩6,4535.87× | ₩19,62417.8× | ₩51,23846.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,905 a share)Now 2.41× | ₩11,1755.87× | ₩33,98417.8× | ₩88,72946.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩5,960 | ₩5,970 | ₩5,980 | ₩5,991 | ₩6,004 |
| 6.9% | ₩5,809 | ₩5,806 | ₩5,802 | ₩5,795 | ₩5,785 |
| 7.4% | ₩5,682 | ₩5,671 | ₩5,658 | ₩5,640 | ₩5,617 |
| 7.9% | ₩5,574 | ₩5,558 | ₩5,539 | ₩5,514 | ₩5,484 |
| 8.4% | ₩5,481 | ₩5,462 | ₩5,439 | ₩5,410 | ₩5,376 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩85B
- Enterprise value
- ₩27B
- P/E
- 4.2×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,830 | ₩3,915 | ₩3,960 | ₩3,760 | ₩5,130 |
| Market cap | ₩181B | ₩72B | ₩73B | ₩69B | ₩95B |
| P/E | 19.8× | 12.8× | 18.7× | — | 14.8× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 1.9× | 0.9× | 1.0× | 1.0× | 1.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 6.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: PS Tec / 피에스텍 / 002230 / KRX:002230
Source: KRX statistical information