Nexen Tire

002350 · KOSPI · ₩002350 · 넥센타이어

₩5,650▲ ₩100 (1.80%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,305

vs the current price (₩5,650)

Enterprise value
₩1.9T
Equity value
₩448B
WACC
4.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩4,305
−23.8%
Bull
₩50,416
+792.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 7.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 8.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 34.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩3.3T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩1.4T
+ Stakes and investments
₩20B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩5B
Shares
104,167,877
incl. 6,500,000 preferred
Share price
₩5,650
Market cap
₩577B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2.7T₩2.8T₩3.2T₩3.6T₩3.8T₩4T₩4.1T₩4.3T
Growth4.0%5.4%12.0%7.1%6.1%5.0%4.0%3.0%
EBIT₩187B₩172B₩170B₩150B₩160B₩168B₩174B₩179B
EBIT margin6.9%6.0%5.3%4.2%4.2%4.2%4.2%4.2%
After-tax EBIT₩136B₩125B₩123B₩109B₩116B₩121B₩126B₩130B
+ Depreciation———₩251B₩266B₩279B₩290B₩299B
− Capital spending₩323B₩205B₩223B₩312B₩331B₩347B₩361B₩372B
− Working capital₩126B₩116B₩122B₩81B₩75B₩65B₩55B₩43B
Free cash flow———−₩33B−₩24B−₩12B₩1.1B₩15B
Discount factor———0.9530.9080.8650.8250.786
Present value———−₩32B−₩22B−₩10B₩882M₩12B

Terminal value ₩2.5T, worth ₩1.9T today: 103% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩20,763 a share)Now 0.27×₩6,4200.31×₩8,6680.42×₩11,0120.53×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,480 a share)Now 3.82×₩6,0474.09×₩8,8455.98×₩24,83016.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩8 a share)Now 680.1×₩344.09×₩505.98×₩13916.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.9%₩9,008₩11,504₩15,260₩21,585₩34,591
4.4%₩5,154₩6,614₩8,651₩11,709₩16,853
4.9%₩2,291₩3,159₩4,305₩5,898₩8,283
5.4%₩83₩593₩1,235₩2,077₩3,242
5.9%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩552B
Enterprise value
₩2T
P/E
3.6×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,530₩6,010₩8,040₩6,120₩6,820
Market cap₩735B₩587B₩785B₩598B₩666B
P/E4.9×4.6×7.6×—138.3×
P/B0.4×0.3×0.5×0.4×0.4×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.3×0.2×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.7%2.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Nexen Tire3.6×0.3×0.2×—3.5%
Hankook Tire & Technology5.8×0.5×0.3×—4.0%
Kumho Tire3.1×0.6×0.3×—0.0%
Pum-Tech Korea19.8×2.5×2.1×—0.7%
Dongwon Systems9.7×0.7×0.4×5.7×2.8%
PI Advanced Materials12.4×1.2×1.7×5.0×2.3%
Nexen2.7×0.2×0.1×—2.9%
Similar companies (median)7.7×0.6×0.4×5.4×2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Nexen Tire / 넥센타이어 / 002350 / KRX:002350

Source: KRX statistical information