KCC

002380 · KOSPI · ₩002380 · KCC

₩397,000▲ ₩20,000 (5.31%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩276,900

vs the current price (₩397,000)

Enterprise value
₩5.3T
Equity value
₩2.4T
WACC
6.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩276,900
−30.3%
Bull
₩913,624
+130.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 14.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.91

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.87, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩6.6T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩3.4T
+ Stakes and investments
₩485B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
8,592,896
Share price
₩397,000
Market cap
₩3.4T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩6.3T₩6.7T₩6.5T₩6.5T₩6.5T₩6.5T₩6.7T₩6.9T
Growth−7.2%5.9%−2.6%−1.5%−0.3%0.8%1.9%3.0%
EBIT₩313B₩471B₩428B₩429B₩427B₩431B₩439B₩452B
EBIT margin5.0%7.1%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%
After-tax EBIT₩227B₩342B₩310B₩311B₩310B₩312B₩318B₩328B
+ Depreciation₩79B₩77B₩375B₩175B₩175B₩176B₩180B₩185B
− Capital spending₩390B₩265B₩331B₩331B₩330B₩333B₩339B₩349B
− Working capital−₩651B₩55B−₩140B−₩14B−₩2.8B₩7.4B₩18B₩28B
Free cash flow₩566B₩99B₩494B₩169B₩157B₩148B₩141B₩135B
Discount factor———0.9380.8800.8260.7750.727
Present value———₩159B₩138B₩123B₩109B₩98B

Terminal value ₩6.4T, worth ₩4.7T today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,282,076 a share)Now 0.31×₩466,7900.36×₩559,3130.44×₩748,0740.58×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩425,618 a share)Now 0.93×₩829,1611.95×₩1,895,2034.45×₩20,279,56447.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,321,630 a share)Now 0.30×₩2,574,7131.95×₩5,884,9934.45×₩62,972,17447.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.6%₩318,534₩382,621₩464,451₩572,643₩722,477
6.1%₩247,760₩297,410₩359,104₩437,876₩542,023
6.6%₩189,810₩229,116₩276,900₩336,273₩412,080
7.1%₩141,520₩173,192₩211,010₩256,984₩314,106
7.6%₩100,687₩126,586₩157,050₩193,425₩237,643

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩3.4T
Enterprise value
₩6.8T
P/E
0.9×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
8.9×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩420,500₩235,500₩228,500₩204,500₩315,000
Market cap₩3.6T₩2T₩2T₩1.8T₩2.7T
P/E2.3×6.5×9.2×51.9×—
P/B0.5×0.4×0.4×0.3×0.5×
P/S0.6×0.3×0.3×0.3×0.5×
EV/EBITDA9.2×11.0×14.2×10.9×15.0×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.3×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Soulbrain19.4×2.2×2.3×—0.7%
Similar companies (median)6.3×0.5×0.4×—0.8%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KCC / 002380 / KRX:002380

Source: KRX statistical information