KCCKCC
002380 · KOSPI · ₩002380 · KCC
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩276,900
vs the current price (₩397,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩5.3T
- Equity value
- ₩2.4T
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩276,900
- −30.3%
- Bull
- ₩913,624
- +130.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.6%).
Revenue growth
- -1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 14.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.91
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.87, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩6.6T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3.4T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩485B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 8,592,896
- Share price
- ₩397,000
- Market cap
- ₩3.4T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩6.3T | ₩6.7T | ₩6.5T | ₩6.5T | ₩6.5T | ₩6.5T | ₩6.7T | ₩6.9T |
| Growth | −7.2% | 5.9% | −2.6% | −1.5% | −0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩313B | ₩471B | ₩428B | ₩429B | ₩427B | ₩431B | ₩439B | ₩452B |
| EBIT margin | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩227B | ₩342B | ₩310B | ₩311B | ₩310B | ₩312B | ₩318B | ₩328B |
| + Depreciation | ₩79B | ₩77B | ₩375B | ₩175B | ₩175B | ₩176B | ₩180B | ₩185B |
| − Capital spending | ₩390B | ₩265B | ₩331B | ₩331B | ₩330B | ₩333B | ₩339B | ₩349B |
| − Working capital | −₩651B | ₩55B | −₩140B | −₩14B | −₩2.8B | ₩7.4B | ₩18B | ₩28B |
| Free cash flow | ₩566B | ₩99B | ₩494B | ₩169B | ₩157B | ₩148B | ₩141B | ₩135B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.880 | 0.826 | 0.775 | 0.727 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩159B | ₩138B | ₩123B | ₩109B | ₩98B |
Terminal value ₩6.4T, worth ₩4.7T today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,282,076 a share)Now 0.31× | ₩466,7900.36× | ₩559,3130.44× | ₩748,0740.58× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩425,618 a share)Now 0.93× | ₩829,1611.95× | ₩1,895,2034.45× | ₩20,279,56447.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,321,630 a share)Now 0.30× | ₩2,574,7131.95× | ₩5,884,9934.45× | ₩62,972,17447.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | ₩318,534 | ₩382,621 | ₩464,451 | ₩572,643 | ₩722,477 |
| 6.1% | ₩247,760 | ₩297,410 | ₩359,104 | ₩437,876 | ₩542,023 |
| 6.6% | ₩189,810 | ₩229,116 | ₩276,900 | ₩336,273 | ₩412,080 |
| 7.1% | ₩141,520 | ₩173,192 | ₩211,010 | ₩256,984 | ₩314,106 |
| 7.6% | ₩100,687 | ₩126,586 | ₩157,050 | ₩193,425 | ₩237,643 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩3.4T
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.8T
- P/E
- 0.9×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.9×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩420,500 | ₩235,500 | ₩228,500 | ₩204,500 | ₩315,000 |
| Market cap | ₩3.6T | ₩2T | ₩2T | ₩1.8T | ₩2.7T |
| P/E | 2.3× | 6.5× | 9.2× | 51.9× | — |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.2× | 11.0× | 14.2× | 10.9× | 15.0× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Soulbrain | 19.4× | 2.2× | 2.3× | — | 0.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 6.3× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KCC / 002380 / KRX:002380
Source: KRX statistical information