Handok

002390 · KOSPI · ₩002390 · 한독

₩8,320▲ ₩80 (0.97%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩151B
Equity value
−₩109B
WACC
4.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩8,320, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses 2.4%).

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩35,773
+330.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 31.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩561B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩353B
+ Stakes and investments
₩95B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩1.8B
Shares
13,763,533
Share price
₩8,320
Market cap
₩115B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩523B₩507B₩535B₩558B₩560B₩567B₩579B₩596B
Growth−3.9%−2.9%5.5%−0.5%0.4%1.2%2.1%3.0%
EBIT₩13B₩539M₩3.3B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B₩14B
EBIT margin2.4%0.1%0.6%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%
After-tax EBIT₩9.1B₩390M₩2.4B₩9.7B₩9.7B₩9.9B₩10B₩10B
+ Depreciation———₩17B₩17B₩18B₩18B₩18B
− Capital spending₩26B₩19B₩16B₩22B₩22B₩22B₩23B₩23B
− Working capital−₩7B₩10B₩14B−₩878M₩699M₩2.1B₩3.7B₩5.4B
Free cash flow———₩6.1B₩4.6B₩3.2B₩1.7B₩169M
Discount factor———0.9540.9100.8680.8280.790
Present value———₩5.8B₩4.2B₩2.8B₩1.4B₩134M

Terminal value ₩173B, worth ₩137B today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩18,403 a share)Now 0.45×₩8,9810.49×₩10,5970.58×₩13,1430.71×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.8%———₩163₩4,223
4.3%—————
4.8%—————
5.3%—————
5.8%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩115B
Enterprise value
₩466B
P/E
—
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩11,200₩12,050₩14,300₩16,750₩22,800
Market cap₩154B₩166B₩197B₩231B₩314B
P/E———21.6×95.2×
P/B0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.8×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.4×0.4×0.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.8%1.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Handok—0.5×0.2×—2.4%
Samsung Biologics32.1×7.6×14.0×—0.0%
Celltrion27.8×2.4×8.9×—0.0%
Alteogen78.8×28.4×59.9×—0.1%
Yuhan24.8×2.5×2.6×32.5×0.8%
SK biopharmaceuticals14.6×5.7×6.8×—0.0%
HLB—15.4×54.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.8×6.7×11.5×32.5×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Handok / 한독 / 002390 / KRX:002390

Source: KRX statistical information