Hantop한탑
002680 · KOSDAQ · ₩002680 · 한탑
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,587
vs the current price (₩2,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩8B
- Equity value
- ₩12B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 45% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,900, the model needs an operating margin of 2.1% every year (it uses 1.0%).
- Or revenue growth +11.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −5.8% to 4.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩1,587
- −45.3%
- Bull
- ₩5,525
- +90.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.0%).
Revenue growth
- -6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -1.47, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩79B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3.3B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 7,756,030
- Share price
- ₩2,900
- Market cap
- ₩22B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩95B | ₩85B | ₩82B | ₩74B | ₩71B | ₩70B | ₩71B | ₩73B |
| Growth | −4.3% | −10.5% | −2.9% | −6.0% | −3.7% | −1.5% | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩912M | ₩3.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩739M | ₩711M | ₩701M | ₩706M | ₩728M |
| EBIT margin | 1.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩661M | ₩2.7B | ₩2.1B | ₩536M | ₩516M | ₩508M | ₩512M | ₩528M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1B | ₩996M | ₩981M | ₩989M | ₩1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| − Working capital | −₩5.6B | −₩2.1B | −₩62M | ₩472M | ₩273M | ₩107M | −₩56M | −₩212M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩231M | −₩42M | ₩121M | ₩286M | ₩448M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩216M | −₩37M | ₩98M | ₩215M | ₩314M |
Terminal value ₩11B, worth ₩7.6B today: 95% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,325 a share)Now 1.25× | ₩1,2840.55× | ₩1,9510.84× | ₩3,4901.50× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,498 | ₩1,665 | ₩1,871 | ₩2,131 | ₩2,469 |
| 6.9% | ₩1,402 | ₩1,543 | ₩1,714 | ₩1,925 | ₩2,191 |
| 7.4% | ₩1,322 | ₩1,443 | ₩1,587 | ₩1,762 | ₩1,977 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,254 | ₩1,359 | ₩1,482 | ₩1,629 | ₩1,807 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,195 | ₩1,287 | ₩1,394 | ₩1,520 | ₩1,669 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩22B
- Enterprise value
- ₩19B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,575 | ₩3,570 | ₩6,195 | ₩5,900 | ₩6,300 |
| Market cap | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩48B | ₩46B | ₩49B |
| P/E | 13.3× | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.6× | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantop | — | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Samyang Foods | 18.4× | 5.9× | 3.3× | — | 0.4% |
| Orion | 10.5× | 1.1× | 1.2× | 5.3× | 3.1% |
| CJ Cheiljedang | — | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Nongshim | 12.0× | 0.8× | 0.7× | — | 1.5% |
| Otoki | 16.9× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 2.9% |
| Hite Jinro | 23.0× | 0.9× | 0.4× | 6.3× | 4.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.9× | 0.9× | 0.5× | 5.8× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hantop / 한탑 / 002680 / KRX:002680
Source: KRX statistical information