Shinil Electronics

002700 · KOSPI · ₩002700 · 신일전자

₩964▼ ₩19 (1.93%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,223

vs the current price (₩964)

Enterprise value
₩64B
Equity value
₩84B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩445
−53.8%
Base
₩1,223
+26.9%
Bull
₩2,645
+174.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 11%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩205B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩18B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.3B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
68,547,521
Share price
₩964
Market cap
₩66B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩184B₩178B₩194B₩202B₩202B₩203B₩207B₩213B
Growth−9.1%−3.2%8.8%−1.5%−0.3%0.8%1.9%3.0%
EBIT₩2B₩4B₩5.2B₩5.5B₩5.4B₩5.5B₩5.6B₩5.8B
EBIT margin1.1%2.3%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%
After-tax EBIT₩1.5B₩2.9B₩3.8B₩4B₩3.9B₩4B₩4.1B₩4.2B
+ Depreciation———₩405M₩403M₩407M₩414M₩427M
− Capital spending₩443M₩510M₩343M₩405M₩403M₩407M₩414M₩427M
− Working capital−₩29B−₩7.4B−₩9B−₩339M−₩67M₩177M₩425M₩684M
Free cash flow———₩4.3B₩4B₩3.8B₩3.6B₩3.5B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩4B₩3.5B₩3.1B₩2.7B₩2.4B

Terminal value ₩69B, worth ₩49B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,240 a share)Now 0.78×₩1,3191.06×₩1,8061.46×₩2,1911.77×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩84 a share)Now 11.5×₩1,50217.9×₩3,11037.0×₩5,89870.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩361 a share)Now 2.67×₩6,45017.9×₩13,35037.0×₩25,32170.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩1,303₩1,361₩1,433₩1,522₩1,638
6.9%₩1,217₩1,262₩1,317₩1,384₩1,468
7.4%₩1,144₩1,180₩1,223₩1,274₩1,337
7.9%₩1,082₩1,111₩1,145₩1,185₩1,233
8.4%₩1,028₩1,052₩1,079₩1,111₩1,148

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩66B
Enterprise value
₩47B
P/E
11.5×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,308₩1,410₩1,881₩1,860₩2,115
Market cap₩90B₩97B₩129B₩127B₩145B
P/E21.3×67.4×122.0×122.4×18.2×
P/B1.1×1.2×1.6×1.6×1.8×
P/S0.5×0.5×0.7×0.6×0.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.5%0.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Shinil Electronics11.5×0.8×0.3×—2.1%
Samsung C&T18.8×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
POSCO International10.6×1.3×0.3×—3.7%
ISC45.3×6.0×12.6×—0.5%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies18.9×1.6×5.1×—4.2%
Shinsegae14.4×0.5×0.3×—2.0%
Similar companies (median)16.6×1.0×1.0×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Shinil Electronics / 신일전자 / 002700 / KRX:002700

Source: KRX statistical information