Yoosung Enterprise유성기업
002920 · KOSPI · ₩002920 · 유성기업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩656
vs the current price (₩1,588)
- Enterprise value
- −₩96B
- Equity value
- ₩17B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 59% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,588, the model needs an operating margin of −0.7% every year (it uses −1.3%).
- Margins ranged from −9.9% to 2.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩656
- −58.7%
- Bull
- ₩3,114
- +96.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.3%).
Revenue growth
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.18, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩281B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩54B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩102B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩42B
- Shares
- 25,947,500
- Share price
- ₩1,588
- Market cap
- ₩41B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩311B | ₩325B | ₩305B | ₩284B | ₩288B | ₩293B | ₩301B | ₩310B |
| Growth | 5.0% | 4.2% | −6.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩8B | −₩474M | −₩30B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.9B | −₩4B |
| EBIT margin | 2.6% | −0.1% | −9.9% | −1.3% | −1.3% | −1.3% | −1.3% | −1.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.8B | −₩343M | −₩22B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.8B | −₩2.8B | −₩2.9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| − Capital spending | ₩23B | ₩8.4B | ₩17B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| − Working capital | ₩5B | −₩12B | ₩52B | ₩440M | ₩691M | ₩951M | ₩1.3B | ₩1.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩6B | −₩6.3B | −₩6.6B | −₩7.1B | −₩7.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩5.5B | −₩5.4B | −₩5.4B | −₩5.3B | −₩5.3B |
Terminal value −₩99B, worth −₩69B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩10,040 a share)Now 0.16× | ₩1,7080.17× | ₩2,3400.23× | ₩2,8130.28× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩102 a share)Now 15.6× | ₩3032.96× | ₩8198.02× | ₩1,49814.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩810 | ₩385 | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | ₩1,089 | ₩731 | ₩299 | — | — |
| 7.4% | ₩1,325 | ₩1,020 | ₩656 | ₩217 | — |
| 7.9% | ₩1,527 | ₩1,263 | ₩953 | ₩585 | ₩139 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,703 | ₩1,472 | ₩1,204 | ₩890 | ₩517 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩41B
- Enterprise value
- −₩13B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,220 | ₩1,849 | ₩2,870 | ₩2,675 | ₩3,195 |
| Market cap | ₩58B | ₩48B | ₩74B | ₩69B | ₩83B |
| P/E | — | — | 7.6× | 3.7× | 10.4× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoosung Enterprise | — | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.2× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 2.0% |
| SL | 6.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.5× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Samhyun | — | 13.0× | 18.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 19.0× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.5× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Yoosung Enterprise / 유성기업 / 002920 / KRX:002920
Source: KRX statistical information