Bukwang Pharmaceutical IND부광약품
003000 · KOSPI · ₩003000 · 부광약품
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩462
vs the current price (₩3,750)
- Enterprise value
- ₩20B
- Equity value
- ₩46B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 88% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,750, the model needs an operating margin of 13.1% every year (it uses 2.3%).
- Margins ranged from −29.8% to 7.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩51
- −98.6%
- Base
- ₩462
- −87.7%
- Bull
- ₩1,295
- −65.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).
Revenue growth
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩215B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩23B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩258M
- Shares
- 98,664,671
- Share price
- ₩3,750
- Market cap
- ₩370B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩126B | ₩160B | ₩201B | ₩219B | ₩223B | ₩228B | ₩234B | ₩241B |
| Growth | −34.0% | 27.1% | 25.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩37B | ₩1.6B | ₩14B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B |
| EBIT margin | −29.8% | 1.0% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩27B | ₩1.2B | ₩10B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B |
| + Depreciation | ₩3.6B | ₩3.4B | — | ₩5.5B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.9B | ₩6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.8B | ₩2.6B | ₩11B | ₩7B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.7B |
| − Working capital | −₩83B | ₩73B | ₩90B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.7B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.8B |
| Free cash flow | ₩57B | −₩71B | — | ₩654M | ₩409M | ₩156M | −₩197M | −₩477M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩609M | ₩354M | ₩126M | −₩148M | −₩334M |
Terminal value ₩28B, worth ₩20B today: 97% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,387 a share)Now 1.11× | ₩4,1851.24× | ₩7,3022.16× | ₩12,9833.83× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩604 | ₩566 | ₩519 | ₩459 | ₩380 |
| 6.9% | ₩568 | ₩532 | ₩487 | ₩432 | ₩362 |
| 7.4% | ₩537 | ₩503 | ₩462 | ₩411 | ₩349 |
| 7.9% | ₩511 | ₩479 | ₩440 | ₩394 | ₩338 |
| 8.4% | ₩489 | ₩458 | ₩423 | ₩380 | ₩329 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩370B
- Enterprise value
- ₩346B
- P/E
- 42.1×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 1.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,785 | ₩4,195 | ₩5,576 | ₩7,998 | ₩11,791 |
| Market cap | ₩373B | ₩414B | ₩550B | ₩789B | ₩1.2T |
| P/E | 29.7× | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.7× | 2.4× | 3.0× | 4.3× |
| P/S | 1.9× | 2.6× | 4.4× | 4.1× | 6.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 80.5× | — | 192.7× | 108.7× |
| Dividend yield | 3.3% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukwang Pharmaceutical IND | 42.1× | 1.1× | 1.7× | — | 3.3% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Bukwang Pharmaceutical IND / 부광약품 / 003000 / KRX:003000
Source: KRX statistical information