Daewoong대웅
003090 · KOSPI · ₩003090 · 대웅
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩35,985
vs the current price (₩14,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.7T
- Equity value
- ₩2.1T
- WACC
- 7.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 142% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩14,900, the model needs an operating margin of 8.7% every year (it uses 12.1%).
- Or revenue growth −12.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 4.8× against a typical 9.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩11,418
- −23.4%
- Base
- ₩35,985
- +141.5%
- Bull
- ₩79,694
- +434.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.1%).
Revenue growth
- 6.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩106B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩164B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩625B
- Shares
- 58,141,980
- Share price
- ₩14,900
- Market cap
- ₩866B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.8T | ₩1.9T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.3T | ₩2.4T | ₩2.5T | ₩2.6T | ₩2.7T |
| Growth | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩196B | ₩282B | ₩262B | ₩274B | ₩290B | ₩305B | ₩317B | ₩326B |
| EBIT margin | 10.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩142B | ₩204B | ₩190B | ₩199B | ₩211B | ₩221B | ₩230B | ₩237B |
| + Depreciation | ₩37B | — | — | ₩45B | ₩48B | ₩50B | ₩52B | ₩54B |
| − Capital spending | ₩229B | ₩336B | ₩348B | ₩354B | ₩374B | ₩393B | ₩408B | ₩421B |
| − Working capital | −₩130B | ₩43B | −₩26B | ₩23B | ₩21B | ₩18B | ₩16B | ₩12B |
| Free cash flow | ₩80B | — | — | −₩132B | −₩137B | −₩140B | −₩142B | −₩143B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.816 | 0.762 | 0.712 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩123B | −₩119B | −₩114B | −₩108B | −₩102B |
Terminal value ₩4.5T, worth ₩3.2T today: 121% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,549 a share)Now 0.69× | ₩18,9530.88× | ₩27,3131.27× | ₩48,0802.23× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,086 a share)Now 4.83× | ₩18,3545.95× | ₩30,1089.76× | ₩62,37920.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,348 a share)Now 6.35× | ₩13,9665.95× | ₩22,9109.76× | ₩47,46720.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | ₩38,906 | ₩45,112 | ₩52,856 | ₩62,795 | ₩76,018 |
| 6.5% | ₩32,484 | ₩37,425 | ₩43,452 | ₩50,974 | ₩60,627 |
| 7.0% | ₩27,182 | ₩31,187 | ₩35,985 | ₩41,840 | ₩49,145 |
| 7.5% | ₩22,738 | ₩26,035 | ₩29,925 | ₩34,586 | ₩40,272 |
| 8.0% | ₩18,970 | ₩21,719 | ₩24,921 | ₩28,699 | ₩33,225 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩866B
- Enterprise value
- ₩969B
- P/E
- 4.8×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩22,050 | ₩21,600 | ₩20,650 | ₩20,350 | ₩31,050 |
| Market cap | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.8T |
| P/E | 7.3× | 21.7× | 7.9× | 11.5× | 22.9× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.3× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 2.5× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 5.9× | 5.6× | 9.7× |
| Dividend yield | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daewoong | 4.8× | 0.7× | 0.4× | — | 1.3% |
| Samsung Biologics | 31.9× | 7.6× | 13.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 79.4× | 28.6× | 60.3× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.2× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.2× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.8× | 11.4× | 30.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daewoong / 대웅 / 003090 / KRX:003090
Source: KRX statistical information