Daewoong

003090 · KOSPI · ₩003090 · 대웅

₩14,900▲ ₩100 (0.68%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩35,985

vs the current price (₩14,900)

Enterprise value
₩2.7T
Equity value
₩2.1T
WACC
7.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 142% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩14,900, the model needs an operating margin of 8.7% every year (it uses 12.1%).
  • Or revenue growth −12.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 4.8× against a typical 9.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩11,418
−23.4%
Base
₩35,985
+141.5%
Bull
₩79,694
+434.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.1%).

Revenue growth

  • 6.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 12.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 15.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 15.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2.1T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩106B
+ Stakes and investments
₩164B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩625B
Shares
58,141,980
Share price
₩14,900
Market cap
₩866B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.8T₩1.9T₩2.1T₩2.3T₩2.4T₩2.5T₩2.6T₩2.7T
Growth6.9%6.8%6.8%6.8%5.9%4.9%4.0%3.0%
EBIT₩196B₩282B₩262B₩274B₩290B₩305B₩317B₩326B
EBIT margin10.8%14.6%12.7%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.1%
After-tax EBIT₩142B₩204B₩190B₩199B₩211B₩221B₩230B₩237B
+ Depreciation₩37B——₩45B₩48B₩50B₩52B₩54B
− Capital spending₩229B₩336B₩348B₩354B₩374B₩393B₩408B₩421B
− Working capital−₩130B₩43B−₩26B₩23B₩21B₩18B₩16B₩12B
Free cash flow₩80B——−₩132B−₩137B−₩140B−₩142B−₩143B
Discount factor———0.9340.8730.8160.7620.712
Present value———−₩123B−₩119B−₩114B−₩108B−₩102B

Terminal value ₩4.5T, worth ₩3.2T today: 121% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩21,549 a share)Now 0.69×₩18,9530.88×₩27,3131.27×₩48,0802.23×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,086 a share)Now 4.83×₩18,3545.95×₩30,1089.76×₩62,37920.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,348 a share)Now 6.35×₩13,9665.95×₩22,9109.76×₩47,46720.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.0%₩38,906₩45,112₩52,856₩62,795₩76,018
6.5%₩32,484₩37,425₩43,452₩50,974₩60,627
7.0%₩27,182₩31,187₩35,985₩41,840₩49,145
7.5%₩22,738₩26,035₩29,925₩34,586₩40,272
8.0%₩18,970₩21,719₩24,921₩28,699₩33,225

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩866B
Enterprise value
₩969B
P/E
4.8×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩22,050₩21,600₩20,650₩20,350₩31,050
Market cap₩1.3T₩1.3T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.8T
P/E7.3×21.7×7.9×11.5×22.9×
P/B1.1×1.3×1.3×1.4×2.5×
P/S0.6×0.6×0.7×0.7×1.2×
EV/EBITDA——5.9×5.6×9.7×
Dividend yield0.9%0.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Daewoong4.8×0.7×0.4×—1.3%
Samsung Biologics31.9×7.6×13.9×—0.0%
Celltrion27.9×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen79.4×28.6×60.3×—0.1%
SK biopharmaceuticals15.2×6.0×7.1×—0.0%
Yuhan23.2×2.3×2.4×30.2×0.8%
HLB—15.4×54.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.9×6.8×11.4×30.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Daewoong / 대웅 / 003090 / KRX:003090

Source: KRX statistical information