DI디아이
003160 · KOSPI · ₩003160 · 디아이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,051
vs the current price (₩43,500)
- Enterprise value
- ₩283B
- Equity value
- ₩228B
- WACC
- 9.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 81% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩43,500, the model needs an operating margin of 19.1% every year (it uses 5.9%).
- Or revenue growth +55.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 42.2× against a typical 23.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,828
- −95.8%
- Base
- ₩8,051
- −81.5%
- Bull
- ₩18,063
- −58.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.9%).
Revenue growth
- 23.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 18.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 24.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 1.01
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.01, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩477B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩36B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩26B
- Shares
- 28,300,000
- Share price
- ₩43,500
- Market cap
- ₩1.2T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩215B | ₩214B | ₩432B | ₩588B | ₩695B | ₩786B | ₩850B | ₩875B |
| Growth | −7.1% | −0.3% | 102.0% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩37B | ₩35B | ₩41B | ₩46B | ₩50B | ₩52B |
| EBIT margin | 2.9% | 1.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.5B | ₩2.2B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩30B | ₩34B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩21B | ₩25B | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.5B | ₩7.2B | ₩36B | ₩26B | ₩31B | ₩35B | ₩37B | ₩39B |
| − Working capital | −₩11B | ₩22B | −₩17B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩22B | ₩15B | ₩6.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩6.2B | −₩1.6B | ₩5.4B | ₩14B | ₩24B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.913 | 0.834 | 0.762 | 0.696 | 0.636 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩5.7B | −₩1.4B | ₩4.1B | ₩9.9B | ₩15B |
Terminal value ₩410B, worth ₩261B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,487 a share)Now 5.81× | ₩8,2241.10× | ₩16,9632.27× | ₩36,5294.88× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,031 a share)Now 42.2× | ₩12,08011.7× | ₩24,20023.5× | ₩55,72754.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,374 a share)Now 12.9× | ₩39,52211.7× | ₩79,17723.5× | ₩182,32654.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | ₩9,100 | ₩9,526 | ₩10,013 | ₩10,579 | ₩11,243 |
| 9.0% | ₩8,221 | ₩8,567 | ₩8,960 | ₩9,410 | ₩9,931 |
| 9.5% | ₩7,449 | ₩7,733 | ₩8,051 | ₩8,412 | ₩8,825 |
| 10.0% | ₩6,767 | ₩7,000 | ₩7,260 | ₩7,551 | ₩7,881 |
| 10.5% | ₩6,160 | ₩6,352 | ₩6,565 | ₩6,801 | ₩7,066 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.2T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.3T
- P/E
- 42.2×
- P/B
- 5.8×
- P/S
- 2.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩21,350 | ₩14,480 | ₩6,300 | ₩4,745 | ₩9,360 |
| Market cap | ₩604B | ₩410B | ₩178B | ₩134B | ₩265B |
| P/E | 118.6× | 374.1× | 56.5× | 9.2× | 17.2× |
| P/B | 3.7× | 2.7× | 1.2× | 0.9× | 1.9× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.9× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.2% | 0.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DI | 42.2× | 5.8× | 2.6× | — | 0.6% |
| TSE | 27.5× | 6.1× | 5.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Kctech | 22.1× | 3.4× | 4.1× | 17.1× | 0.5% |
| Classys | 12.7× | 3.2× | 4.7× | 9.9× | 3.7% |
| Park Systems | 69.0× | 4.7× | 8.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Curiox Biosystems | — | 21.3× | 182.0× | — | 0.0% |
| LivsMed | — | 6.2× | 20.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 24.8× | 5.4× | 6.6× | 13.5× | 0.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DI / 디아이 / 003160 / KRX:003160
Source: KRX statistical information