Yungjin Pharm영진약품
003520 · KOSPI · ₩003520 · 영진약품
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩104B
- Equity value
- −₩155B
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩951, the model needs an operating margin of 6.8% every year (it uses −0.6%).
- Margins ranged from −7.1% to 3.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.6%).
Revenue growth
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 26.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.13, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩253B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩52B
- Shares
- 182,892,731
- Share price
- ₩951
- Market cap
- ₩174B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩235B | ₩252B | ₩254B | ₩266B | ₩279B | ₩290B | ₩301B | ₩310B |
| Growth | 7.6% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.1B | ₩8.7B | ₩3.4B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.9B |
| EBIT margin | 1.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | −0.6% | −0.6% | −0.6% | −0.6% | −0.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩2.5B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| − Capital spending | ₩10B | ₩22B | ₩12B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| − Working capital | ₩6.3B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.2B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩7.9B | −₩7.9B | −₩7.8B | −₩7.7B | −₩7.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.880 | 0.825 | 0.774 | 0.726 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩7.4B | −₩6.9B | −₩6.4B | −₩6B | −₩5.4B |
Terminal value −₩98B, worth −₩71B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩471 a share)Now 2.02× | ₩1,6173.43× | ₩2,0964.45× | ₩3,5037.44× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩174B
- Enterprise value
- ₩225B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.0×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,000 | ₩1,988 | ₩2,125 | ₩3,250 | ₩5,290 |
| Market cap | ₩366B | ₩364B | ₩389B | ₩594B | ₩968B |
| P/E | — | 294.9× | — | — | — |
| P/B | 4.0× | 4.0× | 4.3× | 6.6× | 9.2× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.7× | 2.7× | 4.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yungjin Pharm | — | 2.0× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Yungjin Pharm / 영진약품 / 003520 / KRX:003520
Source: KRX statistical information