Boryung보령
003850 · KOSPI · ₩003850 · 보령
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩15,115
vs the current price (₩8,350)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.2T
- Equity value
- ₩1.3T
- WACC
- 6.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 81% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,350, the model needs an operating margin of 4.2% every year (it uses 7.0%).
- Or revenue growth −18.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 56% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 5.9× against a typical 16.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,854
- −5.9%
- Base
- ₩15,115
- +81.0%
- Bull
- ₩28,490
- +241.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.0%).
Revenue growth
- 10.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 20.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩201B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩281B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 85,787,207
- Share price
- ₩8,350
- Market cap
- ₩716B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩860B | ₩1T | ₩1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T |
| Growth | 13.0% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩68B | ₩70B | ₩65B | ₩82B | ₩89B | ₩95B | ₩99B | ₩102B |
| EBIT margin | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩49B | ₩51B | ₩47B | ₩59B | ₩64B | ₩69B | ₩72B | ₩74B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| − Capital spending | ₩23B | ₩20B | ₩30B | ₩29B | ₩32B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| − Working capital | ₩84B | −₩6.7B | −₩23B | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩17B | ₩13B | ₩8.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩31B | ₩38B | ₩45B | ₩52B | ₩58B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.879 | 0.824 | 0.773 | 0.725 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩29B | ₩33B | ₩37B | ₩40B | ₩42B |
Terminal value ₩1.4T, worth ₩1T today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩10,431 a share)Now 0.80× | ₩9,4940.91× | ₩15,3701.47× | ₩22,7982.19× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,406 a share)Now 5.94× | ₩10,3207.34× | ₩22,62616.1× | ₩39,28327.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | ₩16,209 | ₩17,537 | ₩19,224 | ₩21,442 | ₩24,493 |
| 6.2% | ₩14,630 | ₩15,654 | ₩16,921 | ₩18,532 | ₩20,649 |
| 6.7% | ₩13,333 | ₩14,139 | ₩15,115 | ₩16,324 | ₩17,861 |
| 7.2% | ₩12,248 | ₩12,894 | ₩13,662 | ₩14,593 | ₩15,745 |
| 7.7% | ₩11,328 | ₩11,852 | ₩12,467 | ₩13,199 | ₩14,086 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩716B
- Enterprise value
- ₩899B
- P/E
- 5.9×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,010 | ₩10,290 | ₩11,890 | ₩9,060 | ₩14,600 |
| Market cap | ₩773B | ₩883B | ₩1T | ₩777B | ₩1.3T |
| P/E | 12.0× | 12.7× | 25.4× | 18.6× | 29.1× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 1.1× | 1.9× | 1.5× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.9× | 1.2× | 1.0× | 2.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.8% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boryung | 5.9× | 0.8× | 0.7× | — | 1.9% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Boryung / 보령 / 003850 / KRX:003850
Source: KRX statistical information