Taeyang Metal Industrial

004100 · KOSPI · ₩004100 · 태양금속

₩2,625▼ ₩120 (4.37%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,135

vs the current price (₩2,625)

Enterprise value
₩349B
Equity value
₩125B
WACC
5.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,135
+19.4%
Bull
₩22,208
+746.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.1%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩619B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩224B
+ Stakes and investments
₩742M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩573M
Shares
40,000,000
incl. 3,300,000 preferred
Share price
₩2,625
Market cap
₩108B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩617B₩620B₩620B₩637B₩656B₩675B₩695B₩716B
Growth8.4%0.5%0.0%2.9%2.9%2.9%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩22B₩16B₩22B₩20B₩20B₩21B₩22B₩22B
EBIT margin3.6%2.6%3.6%3.1%3.1%3.1%3.1%3.1%
After-tax EBIT₩16B₩12B₩16B₩14B₩15B₩15B₩16B₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩10B₩10B₩11B₩11B₩11B
− Capital spending₩6.5B₩11B₩19B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B
− Working capital₩29B₩18B₩20B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩4B₩4.2B₩4.3B
Free cash flow———₩8.7B₩8.9B₩9.2B₩9.3B₩9.6B
Discount factor———0.9520.9060.8620.8200.781
Present value———₩8.3B₩8.1B₩7.9B₩7.6B₩7.5B

Terminal value ₩397B, worth ₩310B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,391 a share)Now 0.60×₩2,3630.54×₩3,4260.78×₩4,8521.11×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩436 a share)Now 6.02×₩3,0456.98×₩14,95534.3×₩20,03645.9×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩548 a share)Now 4.79×₩3,8246.98×₩18,78034.3×₩25,15945.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.1%₩4,465₩5,676₩7,466₩10,383₩16,005
4.6%₩2,999₩3,788₩4,879₩6,488₩9,111
5.1%₩1,894₩2,430₩3,135₩4,108₩5,543
5.6%₩1,033₩1,406₩1,880₩2,503₩3,363
6.1%₩342₩607₩934₩1,348₩1,892

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩96B
Enterprise value
₩321B
P/E
5.5×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,320₩2,530₩3,415₩1,445₩1,335
Market cap₩85B₩93B₩125B₩53B₩49B
P/E24.4×37.9×1,915.6×——
P/B0.5×0.8×1.2×0.5×0.5×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.2×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.4%0.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Taeyang Metal Industrial5.5×0.5×0.2×—0.4%
Hyundai Mobis8.3×0.6×0.5×—1.9%
SL5.9×0.8×0.4×3.6×0.0%
HL Mando10.3×0.6×0.2×—2.0%
Hyundai WIA18.9×0.4×0.2×—2.4%
Samhyun—11.2×15.8×—0.0%
SNT Dynamics12.5×0.7×0.8×—7.3%
Similar companies (median)10.3×0.6×0.4×3.6×2.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Taeyang Metal Industrial / 태양금속 / 004100 / KRX:004100

Source: KRX statistical information