KleanNara깨끗한나라
004540 · KOSPI · ₩004540 · 깨끗한나라
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩339B
- Equity value
- −₩660B
- WACC
- 4.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,040, the model needs an operating margin of 3.5% every year (it uses −1.6%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.6%).
Revenue growth
- -5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩515B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩335B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩15B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1,400
- Shares
- 37,606,853
- incl. 366,160 preferred
- Share price
- ₩1,040
- Market cap
- ₩39B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩515B | ₩537B | ₩508B | ₩486B | ₩469B | ₩462B | ₩466B | ₩480B |
| Growth | −15.1% | 4.3% | −5.4% | −5.7% | −3.5% | −1.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩19B | −₩902M | −₩23B | −₩7.8B | −₩7.5B | −₩7.4B | −₩7.5B | −₩7.7B |
| EBIT margin | −3.7% | −0.2% | −4.5% | −1.6% | −1.6% | −1.6% | −1.6% | −1.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩14B | −₩654M | −₩16B | −₩5.6B | −₩5.4B | −₩5.4B | −₩5.4B | −₩5.6B |
| + Depreciation | ₩34B | ₩28B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩27B |
| − Capital spending | ₩16B | ₩24B | ₩44B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| − Working capital | −₩47B | ₩23B | −₩12B | −₩2.8B | −₩1.6B | −₩617M | ₩348M | ₩1.3B |
| Free cash flow | ₩51B | −₩19B | −₩22B | −₩1.9B | −₩2.9B | −₩3.8B | −₩4.8B | −₩5.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.958 | 0.919 | 0.880 | 0.844 | 0.809 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.8B | −₩2.7B | −₩3.4B | −₩4.1B | −₩4.8B |
Terminal value −₩399B, worth −₩323B today: 95% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,214 a share)Now 0.25× | ₩1,4540.34× | ₩1,8610.44× | ₩2,9610.70× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩39B
- Enterprise value
- ₩365B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- 40.8×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,901 | ₩2,295 | ₩2,425 | ₩2,800 | ₩4,095 |
| Market cap | ₩71B | ₩85B | ₩90B | ₩104B | ₩153B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | 18.2× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | 114.5× | 14.1× | 23.9× | 10.6× | 8.4× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KleanNara | — | 0.2× | 0.1× | 40.8× | 0.0% |
| SM Kukil | — | 3.3× | 6.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Shindaeyang Paper | 10.0× | 0.5× | 0.5× | — | 2.8% |
| Asia Paper Manufacturing | 10.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 2.8% |
| Dongwha Enterprise | — | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hansol Paper | 7.3× | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 7.4% |
| Sambo Corrugated Board | 4.5× | 0.2× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.7× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KleanNara / 깨끗한나라 / 004540 / KRX:004540
Source: KRX statistical information