DaeryukCan

004780 · KOSDAQ · ₩004780 · 대륙제관

₩4,280▲ ₩25 (0.59%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩8,800

vs the current price (₩4,280)

Enterprise value
₩118B
Equity value
₩140B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 106% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,280, the model needs an operating margin of 2.4% every year (it uses 4.4%).
  • Today's P/E is 5.5× against a typical 6.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩4,246
−0.8%
Base
₩8,800
+105.6%
Bull
₩17,280
+303.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 2.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 34.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩276B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩20B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.8B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
15,903,199
Share price
₩4,280
Market cap
₩68B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩271B₩275B₩267B₩273B₩273B₩275B₩281B₩289B
Growth−1.8%1.3%−2.9%−1.2%−0.1%0.9%2.0%3.0%
EBIT₩16B₩16B₩10B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩13B
EBIT margin5.8%5.8%3.9%4.4%4.4%4.4%4.4%4.4%
After-tax EBIT₩11B₩11B₩7.5B₩8.7B₩8.7B₩8.8B₩9B₩9.2B
+ Depreciation₩6.5B₩6.9B—₩6.8B₩6.8B₩6.9B₩7B₩7.2B
− Capital spending₩9.5B₩6.2B₩5.7B₩7.1B₩7.1B₩7.2B₩7.3B₩7.5B
− Working capital₩6.7B₩15B₩8.1B−₩1.1B−₩93M₩840M₩1.9B₩2.9B
Free cash flow₩1.6B−₩2.8B—₩9.6B₩8.5B₩7.7B₩6.8B₩6.1B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩8.9B₩7.4B₩6.2B₩5.1B₩4.2B

Terminal value ₩124B, worth ₩87B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩10,121 a share)Now 0.42×₩3,9340.39×₩4,6510.46×₩6,5010.64×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩774 a share)Now 5.53×₩3,8644.99×₩4,9406.38×₩8,96211.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩479 a share)Now 8.94×₩2,3914.99×₩3,0576.38×₩5,54711.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩9,912₩10,140₩10,414₩10,753₩11,186
6.9%₩9,195₩9,347₩9,525₩9,738₩10,001
7.4%₩8,591₩8,688₩8,800₩8,930₩9,085
7.9%₩8,074₩8,133₩8,198₩8,271₩8,355
8.4%₩7,628₩7,658₩7,690₩7,724₩7,760

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩68B
Enterprise value
₩48B
P/E
5.5×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,690₩3,910₩4,105₩4,300₩5,140
Market cap₩59B₩62B₩65B₩68B₩82B
P/E6.4×5.4×5.0×7.0×10.7×
P/B0.4×0.4×0.5×0.5×0.7×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.2×0.2×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—2.7×2.8×4.2×5.7×
Dividend yield4.1%3.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
DaeryukCan5.5×0.4×0.2×—3.5%
CS Wind382.1×1.3×0.6×—2.6%
Hankuk Carbon8.0×1.2×0.9×—2.0%
Taewoong68.8×0.8×1.4×21.9×0.0%
YG-15.4×0.8×0.5×—1.8%
Bosung Power Technology19.8×2.2×1.9×9.1×0.0%
Hansun Engineering39.4×2.8×3.3×15.6×0.0%
Similar companies (median)29.6×1.2×1.1×15.6×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: DaeryukCan / 대륙제관 / 004780 / KRX:004780

Source: KRX statistical information