Citech

004920 · KOSPI · ₩004920 · 씨아이테크

₩6,680▼ ₩110 (1.62%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩12B
Equity value
−₩27B
WACC
6.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,680, the model needs an operating margin of 17.7% every year (it uses −2.6%).
  • Margins ranged from −12.5% to 4.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
  • Today's P/E is 2.0× against a typical 13.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−2.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -9.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -2.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 7.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 26.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.58, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩24B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩15B
Shares
5,217,987
Share price
₩6,680
Market cap
₩35B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩57B₩47B₩41B₩21B₩20B₩19B₩19B₩20B
Growth0.6%−16.9%−12.6%−9.9%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩7.1B−₩2B₩2B−₩557M−₩520M−₩501M−₩500M−₩515M
EBIT margin−12.5%−4.3%4.8%−2.6%−2.6%−2.6%−2.6%−2.6%
After-tax EBIT−₩5.2B−₩1.5B₩1.5B−₩404M−₩377M−₩364M−₩363M−₩374M
+ Depreciation———₩1.2B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B
− Capital spending₩1.2B₩2.8B₩5.5B₩1.5B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B
− Working capital−₩3.3B−₩20B₩20B−₩624M−₩380M−₩185M−₩10M₩153M
Free cash flow———−₩80M−₩276M−₩448M−₩622M−₩804M
Discount factor———0.9400.8840.8310.7810.734
Present value———−₩75M−₩244M−₩372M−₩486M−₩590M

Terminal value −₩14B, worth −₩10B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩14,351 a share)Now 0.47×₩10,4910.73×₩15,9321.11×₩24,6471.72×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,318 a share)Now 2.01×₩7,7122.32×₩45,70213.8×₩113,73834.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.4%—————
5.9%—————
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩35B
Enterprise value
₩49B
P/E
2.0×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
1.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩10,689₩11,299₩14,699₩8,760₩15,249
Market cap₩56B₩59B₩77B₩46B₩80B
P/E3.8×————
P/B0.8×1.1×1.4×0.9×1.7×
P/S1.3×1.2×1.3×0.8×1.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Citech2.0×0.5×1.5×—0.0%
Samsung Electronics8.7×2.3×2.7×—0.8%
LG Electronics24.7×1.0×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Vision16.4×2.1×1.0×—0.0%
RFHIC37.6×3.4×6.1×—0.9%
KMW—4.9×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies12.9×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)16.4×2.2×2.1×—0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Citech / 씨아이테크 / 004920 / KRX:004920

Source: KRX statistical information