Dongjin Semichem동진쎄미켐
005290 · KOSDAQ · ₩005290 · 동진쎄미켐
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩16,787
vs the current price (₩38,800)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1T
- Equity value
- ₩856B
- WACC
- 8.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 57% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩38,800, the model needs an operating margin of 25.4% every year (it uses 14.4%).
- Or revenue growth +19.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 36% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 9.5× against a typical 12.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩8,938
- −77.0%
- Base
- ₩16,787
- −56.7%
- Bull
- ₩29,420
- −24.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.4%).
Revenue growth
- -6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 13.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 28.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.95
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.92, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩164B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.4B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩17B
- Shares
- 50,970,126
- Share price
- ₩38,800
- Market cap
- ₩2T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.1T | ₩1T | ₩992B | ₩998B | ₩1T |
| Growth | −10.1% | 7.5% | −15.2% | −6.4% | −4.1% | −1.7% | 0.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩176B | ₩208B | ₩172B | ₩152B | ₩145B | ₩143B | ₩144B | ₩148B |
| EBIT margin | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩128B | ₩151B | ₩125B | ₩110B | ₩105B | ₩104B | ₩104B | ₩107B |
| + Depreciation | ₩53B | ₩63B | ₩66B | ₩49B | ₩47B | ₩47B | ₩47B | ₩48B |
| − Capital spending | ₩284B | ₩175B | ₩81B | ₩144B | ₩138B | ₩136B | ₩137B | ₩141B |
| − Working capital | −₩42B | ₩13B | ₩141B | −₩21B | −₩12B | −₩4.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩8.5B |
| Free cash flow | −₩61B | ₩25B | −₩32B | ₩36B | ₩27B | ₩19B | ₩13B | ₩6.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.919 | 0.844 | 0.776 | 0.713 | 0.655 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩33B | ₩23B | ₩15B | ₩9B | ₩4.1B |
Terminal value ₩1.4T, worth ₩945B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩24,040 a share)Now 1.61× | ₩35,8091.49× | ₩56,9892.37× | ₩82,7413.44× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,103 a share)Now 9.46× | ₩38,6329.42× | ₩52,73512.9× | ₩79,58119.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,760 a share)Now 5.74× | ₩63,6589.42× | ₩86,89612.9× | ₩131,13419.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | ₩18,088 | ₩19,441 | ₩21,023 | ₩22,899 | ₩25,158 |
| 8.3% | ₩16,299 | ₩17,428 | ₩18,733 | ₩20,257 | ₩22,064 |
| 8.8% | ₩14,748 | ₩15,699 | ₩16,787 | ₩18,044 | ₩19,513 |
| 9.3% | ₩13,390 | ₩14,199 | ₩15,116 | ₩16,164 | ₩17,375 |
| 9.8% | ₩12,194 | ₩12,887 | ₩13,666 | ₩14,549 | ₩15,558 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.1T
- P/E
- 9.5×
- P/B
- 1.6×
- P/S
- 1.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.4×
- Dividend yield
- 1.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩36,650 | ₩20,900 | ₩38,700 | ₩29,950 | ₩51,000 |
| Market cap | ₩1.9T | ₩1.1T | ₩2T | ₩1.5T | ₩2.6T |
| P/E | 18.9× | 6.9× | 15.5× | 9.6× | 25.2× |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.1× | 2.5× | 2.2× | 4.7× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 0.8× | 1.5× | 1.0× | 2.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.8× | 4.7× | 9.6× | 6.4× | 15.6× |
| Dividend yield | 1.8% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongjin Semichem | 9.5× | 1.6× | 1.8× | 8.4× | 1.7% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 5.9× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.5% |
| SKC | — | 1.8× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.9× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dongjin Semichem / 동진쎄미켐 / 005290 / KRX:005290
Source: KRX statistical information