Dongjin Semichem

005290 · KOSDAQ · ₩005290 · 동진쎄미켐

₩38,800▼ ₩2,500 (6.05%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩16,787

vs the current price (₩38,800)

Enterprise value
₩1T
Equity value
₩856B
WACC
8.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 57% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩38,800, the model needs an operating margin of 25.4% every year (it uses 14.4%).
  • Or revenue growth +19.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • 36% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 9.5× against a typical 12.9× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩8,938
−77.0%
Base
₩16,787
−56.7%
Bull
₩29,420
−24.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 14.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 13.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 28.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.95

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.92, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.1T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩164B
+ Stakes and investments
₩8.4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩17B
Shares
50,970,126
Share price
₩38,800
Market cap
₩2T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.3T₩1.4T₩1.2T₩1.1T₩1T₩992B₩998B₩1T
Growth−10.1%7.5%−15.2%−6.4%−4.1%−1.7%0.6%3.0%
EBIT₩176B₩208B₩172B₩152B₩145B₩143B₩144B₩148B
EBIT margin13.4%14.8%14.4%14.4%14.4%14.4%14.4%14.4%
After-tax EBIT₩128B₩151B₩125B₩110B₩105B₩104B₩104B₩107B
+ Depreciation₩53B₩63B₩66B₩49B₩47B₩47B₩47B₩48B
− Capital spending₩284B₩175B₩81B₩144B₩138B₩136B₩137B₩141B
− Working capital−₩42B₩13B₩141B−₩21B−₩12B−₩4.9B₩1.7B₩8.5B
Free cash flow−₩61B₩25B−₩32B₩36B₩27B₩19B₩13B₩6.3B
Discount factor———0.9190.8440.7760.7130.655
Present value———₩33B₩23B₩15B₩9B₩4.1B

Terminal value ₩1.4T, worth ₩945B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩24,040 a share)Now 1.61×₩35,8091.49×₩56,9892.37×₩82,7413.44×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,103 a share)Now 9.46×₩38,6329.42×₩52,73512.9×₩79,58119.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,760 a share)Now 5.74×₩63,6589.42×₩86,89612.9×₩131,13419.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.8%₩18,088₩19,441₩21,023₩22,899₩25,158
8.3%₩16,299₩17,428₩18,733₩20,257₩22,064
8.8%₩14,748₩15,699₩16,787₩18,044₩19,513
9.3%₩13,390₩14,199₩15,116₩16,164₩17,375
9.8%₩12,194₩12,887₩13,666₩14,549₩15,558

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩2T
Enterprise value
₩2.1T
P/E
9.5×
P/B
1.6×
P/S
1.8×
EV/EBITDA
8.4×
Dividend yield
1.7%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩36,650₩20,900₩38,700₩29,950₩51,000
Market cap₩1.9T₩1.1T₩2T₩1.5T₩2.6T
P/E18.9×6.9×15.5×9.6×25.2×
P/B1.7×1.1×2.5×2.2×4.7×
P/S1.6×0.8×1.5×1.0×2.2×
EV/EBITDA8.8×4.7×9.6×6.4×15.6×
Dividend yield1.8%1.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Dongjin Semichem9.5×1.6×1.8×8.4×1.7%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Solutions—0.5×0.3×—0.0%
Hanwha5.9×0.4×0.1×—1.5%
SKC—1.8×1.7×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Dongjin Semichem / 동진쎄미켐 / 005290 / KRX:005290

Source: KRX statistical information