Ontide온타이드
005320 · KOSPI · ₩005320 · 온타이드
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩31B
- Equity value
- −₩31B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,242, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses −1.0%).
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩613
- −50.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 20.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.26, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩239B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3.9B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 34,187,845
- Share price
- ₩1,242
- Market cap
- ₩42B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩224B | ₩266B | ₩231B | ₩215B | ₩200B | ₩193B | ₩193B | ₩199B |
| Growth | −32.0% | 18.5% | −12.9% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩3.6B | −₩4.3B | −₩1.9B | −₩2.1B | −₩2B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.9B | −₩2B |
| EBIT margin | −1.6% | −1.6% | −0.8% | −1.0% | −1.0% | −1.0% | −1.0% | −1.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩2.6B | −₩3.2B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Capital spending | ₩0 | ₩30M | — | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Working capital | −₩9.8B | ₩9.1B | −₩5.9B | −₩5B | −₩3B | −₩1.5B | −₩81M | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩3.4B | ₩1.6B | ₩64M | −₩1.3B | −₩2.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.872 | 0.814 | 0.760 | 0.710 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.2B | ₩1.4B | ₩52M | −₩1B | −₩1.9B |
Terminal value −₩45B, worth −₩32B today: 106% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,129 a share)Now 0.40× | ₩8770.28× | ₩1,2420.40× | ₩4,7961.53× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩42B
- Enterprise value
- ₩45B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩912 | ₩850 | ₩1,558 | ₩2,170 | ₩5,470 |
| Market cap | ₩31B | ₩29B | ₩53B | ₩74B | ₩187B |
| P/E | — | — | — | 53.4× | — |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ontide | — | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.5× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 3.8% |
| ISC | 45.4× | 6.1× | 12.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.2× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.9× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.3× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ontide / 온타이드 / 005320 / KRX:005320
Source: KRX statistical information