Samyoung Electronics삼영전자
005680 · KOSPI · ₩005680 · 삼영전자
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩20,274
vs the current price (₩11,750)
- Enterprise value
- ₩74B
- Equity value
- ₩405B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 73% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩11,750, the model needs an operating margin of −5.3% every year (it uses 5.5%).
- Today's P/E is 54.9× against a typical 15.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩18,529
- +57.7%
- Base
- ₩20,274
- +72.5%
- Bull
- ₩23,497
- +100.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.5%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 36.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩151B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩310B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩23B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.2B
- Shares
- 20,000,000
- Share price
- ₩11,750
- Market cap
- ₩235B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩177B | ₩163B | ₩150B | ₩136B | ₩127B | ₩122B | ₩122B | ₩126B |
| Growth | −22.2% | −8.1% | −8.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.5B | ₩7.3B | ₩9.2B | ₩7.5B | ₩7B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B |
| EBIT margin | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.7B | ₩5.3B | ₩6.7B | ₩5.4B | ₩5B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.2B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.1B | ₩4.6B | ₩8.8B | ₩5.3B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩253B | −₩18B | −₩7.4B | −₩5.5B | −₩3.3B | −₩1.6B | −₩90M | ₩1.3B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩9.9B | ₩7.4B | ₩5.5B | ₩4B | ₩2.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩9.2B | ₩6.4B | ₩4.5B | ₩3B | ₩1.9B |
Terminal value ₩70B, worth ₩49B today: 66% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩30,740 a share)Now 0.38× | ₩10,4860.34× | ₩11,7500.38× | ₩14,3180.47× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩214 a share)Now 54.9× | ₩2,1279.94× | ₩3,39915.9× | ₩12,33057.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,098 a share)Now 10.7× | ₩10,9129.94× | ₩17,43915.9× | ₩63,26857.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩20,708 | ₩20,839 | ₩20,997 | ₩21,194 | ₩21,446 |
| 6.9% | ₩20,393 | ₩20,487 | ₩20,599 | ₩20,734 | ₩20,902 |
| 7.4% | ₩20,127 | ₩20,195 | ₩20,274 | ₩20,367 | ₩20,480 |
| 7.9% | ₩19,900 | ₩19,948 | ₩20,003 | ₩20,067 | ₩20,143 |
| 8.4% | ₩19,702 | ₩19,736 | ₩19,774 | ₩19,818 | ₩19,867 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩235B
- Enterprise value
- −₩75B
- P/E
- 54.9×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 1.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,540 | ₩9,850 | ₩8,570 | ₩9,300 | ₩11,400 |
| Market cap | ₩211B | ₩197B | ₩171B | ₩186B | ₩228B |
| P/E | 41.2× | 17.7× | 12.4× | 10.2× | 13.4× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.2× | 1.0× | 0.8× | 1.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.8% | 3.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samyoung Electronics | 54.9× | 0.4× | 1.6× | — | 2.6% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samyoung Electronics / 삼영전자 / 005680 / KRX:005680
Source: KRX statistical information