Wonlim원림
005820 · KOSPI · ₩005820 · 원림
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩32,421
vs the current price (₩13,820)
- Enterprise value
- ₩46B
- Equity value
- ₩75B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 135% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,820, the model needs an operating margin of 1.4% every year (it uses 4.6%).
- Today's P/E is 6.9× against a typical 8.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩20,659
- +49.5%
- Base
- ₩32,421
- +134.6%
- Bull
- ₩54,366
- +293.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.6%).
Revenue growth
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 1.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩91B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩19B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩42B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩33B
- Shares
- 2,297,970
- Share price
- ₩13,820
- Market cap
- ₩32B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩84B | ₩82B | ₩90B | ₩94B | ₩97B | ₩100B | ₩103B | ₩106B |
| Growth | 3.0% | −2.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.1B | ₩1.7B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.9B |
| EBIT margin | 6.0% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩1.3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩309M | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B |
| − Working capital | ₩16B | −₩7.9B | −₩17B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | −₩11B | ₩9.8B | ₩20B | ₩3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.8B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.4B |
Terminal value ₩47B, worth ₩33B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩55,788 a share)Now 0.25× | ₩14,5120.26× | ₩19,5980.35× | ₩26,4080.47× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,998 a share)Now 6.92× | ₩10,3865.20× | ₩16,0798.05× | ₩27,63513.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,515 a share)Now 5.50× | ₩13,0695.20× | ₩20,2338.05× | ₩34,77713.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩35,714 | ₩36,202 | ₩36,786 | ₩37,507 | ₩38,424 |
| 6.8% | ₩33,748 | ₩34,040 | ₩34,379 | ₩34,781 | ₩35,271 |
| 7.3% | ₩32,092 | ₩32,248 | ₩32,421 | ₩32,617 | ₩32,843 |
| 7.8% | ₩30,677 | ₩30,737 | ₩30,797 | ₩30,856 | ₩30,914 |
| 8.3% | ₩29,455 | ₩29,447 | ₩29,428 | ₩29,394 | ₩29,343 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩32B
- Enterprise value
- ₩13B
- P/E
- 6.9×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 1.9×
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩14,900 | ₩12,600 | ₩18,650 | ₩20,550 | ₩19,300 |
| Market cap | ₩34B | ₩29B | ₩43B | ₩47B | ₩44B |
| P/E | 9.2× | 7.2× | 5.8× | 6.6× | 31.5× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.8× | 5.0× | 5.0× | 8.8× | 9.0× |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 3.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Wonlim / 원림 / 005820 / KRX:005820
Source: KRX statistical information