Dongbu동부건설
005960 · KOSPI · ₩005960 · 동부건설
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩26,490
vs the current price (₩7,950)
- Enterprise value
- ₩822B
- Equity value
- ₩614B
- WACC
- 5.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 233% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,950, the model needs an operating margin of 1.6% every year (it uses 2.4%).
- Margins ranged from −5.7% to 5.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 51% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 2.3× against a typical 3.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩26,490
- +233.2%
- Bull
- ₩122,083
- +1,435.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).
Revenue growth
- 6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.69
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.54, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩427B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩219B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 23,172,395
- incl. 225,732 preferred
- Share price
- ₩7,950
- Market cap
- ₩186B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.9T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.8T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.3T | ₩2.4T | ₩2.5T |
| Growth | 30.0% | −11.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩30B | −₩97B | ₩43B | ₩50B | ₩53B | ₩55B | ₩57B | ₩59B |
| EBIT margin | 1.6% | −5.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩22B | −₩70B | ₩31B | ₩36B | ₩38B | ₩40B | ₩42B | ₩43B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.7B | ₩4.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩48B | −₩203B | −₩5.7B | ₩30B | ₩27B | ₩25B | ₩21B | ₩17B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.4B | ₩11B | ₩15B | ₩21B | ₩26B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.903 | 0.859 | 0.816 | 0.776 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.1B | ₩9.9B | ₩13B | ₩17B | ₩20B |
Terminal value ₩974B, worth ₩756B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩25,596 a share)Now 0.31× | ₩5,1490.20× | ₩6,7850.27× | ₩14,1410.55× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,465 a share)Now 2.29× | ₩6,5501.89× | ₩10,8583.13× | ₩99,08628.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,043 a share)Now 1.97× | ₩7,6431.89× | ₩12,6703.13× | ₩115,62328.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | ₩34,326 | ₩38,153 | ₩43,665 | ₩52,344 | ₩68,117 |
| 4.7% | ₩28,012 | ₩30,339 | ₩33,487 | ₩38,016 | ₩45,136 |
| 5.2% | ₩23,208 | ₩24,641 | ₩26,490 | ₩28,984 | ₩32,564 |
| 5.7% | ₩19,433 | ₩20,305 | ₩21,386 | ₩22,774 | ₩24,639 |
| 6.2% | ₩16,391 | ₩16,897 | ₩17,501 | ₩18,243 | ₩19,187 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩182B
- Enterprise value
- ₩571B
- P/E
- 2.3×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,630 | ₩3,825 | ₩5,870 | ₩7,260 | ₩14,600 |
| Market cap | ₩129B | ₩88B | ₩135B | ₩167B | ₩335B |
| P/E | 2.5× | — | — | 4.2× | 2.9× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 5.3% | 5.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongbu | 2.3× | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 3.8% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 23.7× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.8% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.5× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 19.7× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.4× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 8.1× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.8× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.4× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 8.1× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dongbu / 동부건설 / 005960 / KRX:005960
Source: KRX statistical information