Dawon Cable대원전선
006340 · KOSPI · ₩006340 · 대원전선
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩406
vs the current price (₩9,960)
- Enterprise value
- ₩84B
- Equity value
- ₩33B
- WACC
- 9.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 96% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩9,960, the model needs an operating margin of 10.6% every year (it uses 1.6%).
- Today's P/E is 63.9× against a typical 33.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩406
- −95.9%
- Bull
- ₩3,336
- −66.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.6%).
Revenue growth
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.97
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.95, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩789B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩24B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩5.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩32B
- Shares
- 81,035,616
- incl. 2,621,200 preferred
- Share price
- ₩9,960
- Market cap
- ₩802B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩515B | ₩553B | ₩625B | ₩818B | ₩845B | ₩873B | ₩900B | ₩927B |
| Growth | −8.4% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩9.4B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| EBIT margin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9.5B | ₩10B | ₩6.8B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.7B | ₩1.2B | ₩5.3B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩4.6B | ₩10B | ₩26B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩3.9B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.5B | ₩5B | ₩5.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.916 | 0.838 | 0.768 | 0.703 | 0.644 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.4B |
Terminal value ₩103B, worth ₩66B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,807 a share)Now 5.51× | ₩1,7400.96× | ₩3,4011.88× | ₩9,9605.51× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩156 a share)Now 63.9× | ₩2,65717.0× | ₩5,18133.2× | ₩12,03877.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩200 a share)Now 49.7× | ₩3,41117.0× | ₩6,65233.2× | ₩15,45777.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | ₩624 | ₩608 | ₩587 | ₩562 | ₩531 |
| 8.7% | ₩533 | ₩513 | ₩490 | ₩461 | ₩427 |
| 9.2% | ₩452 | ₩431 | ₩406 | ₩375 | ₩340 |
| 9.7% | ₩382 | ₩359 | ₩333 | ₩302 | ₩265 |
| 10.2% | ₩319 | ₩296 | ₩269 | ₩238 | ₩201 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩781B
- Enterprise value
- ₩805B
- P/E
- 61.8×
- P/B
- 5.3×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,720 | ₩2,975 | ₩1,157 | ₩1,100 | ₩1,770 |
| Market cap | ₩292B | ₩233B | ₩91B | ₩86B | ₩139B |
| P/E | 33.2× | 34.3× | 9.4× | 63.7× | 106.4× |
| P/B | 2.3× | 2.0× | 0.9× | 0.9× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawon Cable | 61.8× | 5.3× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dawon Cable / 대원전선 / 006340 / KRX:006340
Source: KRX statistical information