GS Engineering & ConstructionGS건설
006360 · KOSPI · ₩006360 · GS건설
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩78,872
vs the current price (₩29,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.4T
- Equity value
- ₩6.7T
- WACC
- 7.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 168% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩29,400, the model needs an operating margin of 0.4% every year (it uses 3.4%).
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩11T, operating profit ₩415B (3.8% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩12T, operating profit ₩607B (5.2% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Margins ranged from −2.9% to 7.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 19.3× against a typical 9.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩39,719
- +35.1%
- Base
- ₩78,872
- +168.3%
- Bull
- ₩145,337
- +394.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.4%).
Revenue growth
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.7
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.55, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩11T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩2.5T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩669B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩774B
- Shares
- 85,581,490
- Share price
- ₩29,400
- Market cap
- ₩2.5T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩13T | ₩13T | ₩12T | ₩11T | ₩12T | ₩12T | ₩12T | ₩12T |
| Growth | 9.2% | −4.3% | −3.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩388B | ₩286B | ₩438B | ₩388B | ₩392B | ₩399B | ₩409B | ₩421B |
| EBIT margin | −2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩281B | ₩207B | ₩317B | ₩281B | ₩285B | ₩289B | ₩296B | ₩305B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩308B | ₩312B | ₩317B | ₩325B | ₩334B |
| − Capital spending | ₩505B | ₩527B | ₩295B | ₩388B | ₩392B | ₩399B | ₩409B | ₩421B |
| − Working capital | −₩3.1T | −₩889B | ₩675B | −₩4.5B | −₩13B | −₩20B | −₩28B | −₩36B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩206B | ₩216B | ₩227B | ₩240B | ₩255B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.858 | 0.795 | 0.737 | 0.683 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩191B | ₩186B | ₩180B | ₩177B | ₩174B |
Terminal value ₩5.1T, worth ₩3.5T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩57,143 a share)Now 0.51× | ₩16,0620.28× | ₩21,4270.37× | ₩41,3780.72× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,525 a share)Now 19.3× | ₩5,8443.83× | ₩14,8239.72× | ₩61,04040.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩4,458 a share)Now 6.60× | ₩17,0843.83× | ₩43,3359.72× | ₩178,44940.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | ₩78,927 | ₩83,836 | ₩89,750 | ₩97,012 | ₩106,134 |
| 7.4% | ₩74,773 | ₩78,905 | ₩83,808 | ₩89,715 | ₩96,966 |
| 7.9% | ₩71,221 | ₩74,745 | ₩78,872 | ₩83,767 | ₩89,665 |
| 8.4% | ₩68,151 | ₩71,190 | ₩74,708 | ₩78,828 | ₩83,715 |
| 8.9% | ₩65,471 | ₩68,116 | ₩71,149 | ₩74,661 | ₩78,773 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.5T
- Enterprise value
- ₩51B
- P/E
- 19.3×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩19,700 | ₩17,350 | ₩15,020 | ₩21,150 | ₩39,600 |
| Market cap | ₩1.7T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.8T | ₩3.4T |
| P/E | 18.0× | 6.0× | — | 5.3× | 8.3× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 1.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS Engineering & Construction | 19.3× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.7× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| DL E&C | 3.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.4× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 8.1× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.9× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.8% |
| LS Marine Solution | 122.6× | 2.2× | 4.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.4× | 1.2× | 0.5× | 8.1× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: GS Engineering & Construction / GS건설 / 006360 / KRX:006360
Source: KRX statistical information