Seobu T&D서부T&D
006730 · KOSDAQ · ₩006730 · 서부T&D
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩17,821
vs the current price (₩11,540)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.8T
- Equity value
- ₩1.1T
- WACC
- 6.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 54% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩11,540, the model needs an operating margin of 17.3% every year (it uses 22.3%).
- Or revenue growth −6.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −5.5% to 28.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 39% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 7.6× against a typical 10.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩8,368
- −27.5%
- Base
- ₩17,821
- +54.4%
- Bull
- ₩34,254
- +196.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (22.3%).
Revenue growth
- 22.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 17.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 22.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩301B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩325B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩332B
- Shares
- 64,276,923
- Share price
- ₩11,540
- Market cap
- ₩742B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩169B | ₩187B | ₩248B | ₩369B | ₩434B | ₩489B | ₩527B | ₩543B |
| Growth | 25.0% | 10.8% | 32.5% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩37B | ₩48B | ₩70B | ₩82B | ₩97B | ₩109B | ₩118B | ₩121B |
| EBIT margin | 22.0% | 25.6% | 28.3% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 22.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩27B | ₩35B | ₩51B | ₩60B | ₩70B | ₩79B | ₩85B | ₩88B |
| + Depreciation | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩31B | ₩36B | ₩41B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B |
| − Working capital | −₩10B | −₩145B | ₩517B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.6B | ₩1.9B | ₩760M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩72B | ₩86B | ₩97B | ₩106B | ₩110B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.940 | 0.883 | 0.830 | 0.781 | 0.734 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩68B | ₩76B | ₩81B | ₩83B | ₩81B |
Terminal value ₩1.9T, worth ₩1.4T today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,561 a share)Now 0.70× | ₩7,6800.46× | ₩11,0770.67× | ₩14,5240.88× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,528 a share)Now 7.55× | ₩4,1982.75× | ₩16,18410.6× | ₩42,24227.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩373 a share)Now 30.9× | ₩1,0252.75× | ₩3,95310.6× | ₩10,31627.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | ₩18,907 | ₩21,932 | ₩25,848 | ₩31,119 | ₩38,592 |
| 5.9% | ₩16,000 | ₩18,358 | ₩21,321 | ₩25,157 | ₩30,321 |
| 6.4% | ₩13,629 | ₩15,511 | ₩17,821 | ₩20,724 | ₩24,483 |
| 6.9% | ₩11,658 | ₩13,189 | ₩15,033 | ₩17,297 | ₩20,141 |
| 7.4% | ₩9,994 | ₩11,259 | ₩12,760 | ₩14,567 | ₩16,785 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩742B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- P/E
- 7.6×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 2.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 11.0×
- Dividend yield
- 0.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩13,100 | ₩5,420 | ₩7,200 | ₩7,070 | ₩8,167 |
| Market cap | ₩842B | ₩348B | ₩463B | ₩454B | ₩525B |
| P/E | 10.6× | 10.1× | 3.3× | 27.2× | 13.0× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 3.4× | 1.9× | 2.7× | 3.4× | 5.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.2× | 21.6× | 24.6× | 35.5× | 135.9× |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% | 1.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seobu T&D | 7.6× | 0.7× | 2.5× | 11.0× | 0.9% |
| Kangwon Land | 8.9× | 0.7× | 2.0× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Paradise | 12.0× | 0.5× | 0.7× | — | 1.6% |
| Grand Korea Leisure | 10.8× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 4.8× | 5.0% |
| Ananti | — | 0.6× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Mona Yongpyong | — | 0.2× | 0.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Namhwa Industrial | 9.4× | 0.3× | 3.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.1× | 0.5× | 1.4× | 6.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Seobu T&D / 서부T&D / 006730 / KRX:006730
Source: KRX statistical information