Ilshin Stone일신석재
007110 · KOSPI · ₩007110 · 일신석재
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩563
vs the current price (₩2,305)
- Enterprise value
- ₩13B
- Equity value
- ₩8.7B
- WACC
- 7.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 76% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,305, the model needs an operating margin of 6.8% every year (it uses 2.4%).
- Or revenue growth +33.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩563
- −75.6%
- Bull
- ₩2,029
- −12.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩55B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩4B
- Shares
- 15,491,322
- Share price
- ₩2,305
- Market cap
- ₩36B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩101B | ₩79B | ₩55B | ₩49B | ₩46B | ₩44B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| Growth | −26.5% | −22.2% | −30.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩681M | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
| EBIT margin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.3B | ₩2.8B | ₩493M | ₩854M | ₩796M | ₩768M | ₩767M | ₩790M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩687M | ₩641M | ₩618M | ₩617M | ₩636M |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩1.8B | ₩695M | ₩883M | ₩824M | ₩795M | ₩793M | ₩817M |
| − Working capital | −₩2.5B | ₩772M | ₩11B | −₩431M | −₩260M | −₩127M | −₩7M | ₩104M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩873M | ₩718M | ₩598M | ₩504M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.935 | 0.874 | 0.817 | 0.764 | 0.714 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1B | ₩763M | ₩587M | ₩456M | ₩360M |
Terminal value ₩13B, worth ₩9.6B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,795 a share)Now 0.61× | ₩5,3181.40× | ₩7,2031.90× | ₩10,9462.88× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩25 a share)Now 90.5× | ₩91936.1× | ₩1,34452.8× | ₩1,74068.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | ₩627 | ₩687 | ₩761 | ₩857 | ₩985 |
| 6.5% | ₩548 | ₩595 | ₩651 | ₩722 | ₩813 |
| 7.0% | ₩483 | ₩519 | ₩563 | ₩617 | ₩684 |
| 7.5% | ₩427 | ₩457 | ₩491 | ₩533 | ₩584 |
| 8.0% | ₩380 | ₩404 | ₩431 | ₩464 | ₩504 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩36B
- Enterprise value
- ₩39B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,280 | ₩10,800 | ₩5,440 | ₩5,100 | ₩11,250 |
| Market cap | ₩128B | ₩167B | ₩84B | ₩79B | ₩174B |
| P/E | — | 117.9× | 50.7× | 33.7× | — |
| P/B | 2.2× | 2.8× | 1.5× | 1.4× | 3.3× |
| P/S | 2.4× | 2.1× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 2.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilshin Stone | — | 0.6× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.1× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.3× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 3.8% |
| ISC | 42.6× | 5.7× | 11.9× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.2× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.0% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.6× | 1.7× | 5.3× | — | 4.0% |
| SK Gas | 7.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.2× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 3.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ilshin Stone / 일신석재 / 007110 / KRX:007110
Source: KRX statistical information