Ilshin Stone

007110 · KOSPI · ₩007110 · 일신석재

₩2,305▼ ₩45 (1.91%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩563

vs the current price (₩2,305)

Enterprise value
₩13B
Equity value
₩8.7B
WACC
7.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 76% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,305, the model needs an operating margin of 6.8% every year (it uses 2.4%).
  • Or revenue growth +33.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩563
−75.6%
Bull
₩2,029
−12.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-26.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩55B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩4B
Shares
15,491,322
Share price
₩2,305
Market cap
₩36B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩101B₩79B₩55B₩49B₩46B₩44B₩44B₩45B
Growth−26.5%−22.2%−30.8%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩4.6B₩3.8B₩681M₩1.2B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B
EBIT margin4.6%4.8%1.2%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%
After-tax EBIT₩3.3B₩2.8B₩493M₩854M₩796M₩768M₩767M₩790M
+ Depreciation———₩687M₩641M₩618M₩617M₩636M
− Capital spending—₩1.8B₩695M₩883M₩824M₩795M₩793M₩817M
− Working capital−₩2.5B₩772M₩11B−₩431M−₩260M−₩127M−₩7M₩104M
Free cash flow———₩1.1B₩873M₩718M₩598M₩504M
Discount factor———0.9350.8740.8170.7640.714
Present value———₩1B₩763M₩587M₩456M₩360M

Terminal value ₩13B, worth ₩9.6B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,795 a share)Now 0.61×₩5,3181.40×₩7,2031.90×₩10,9462.88×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩25 a share)Now 90.5×₩91936.1×₩1,34452.8×₩1,74068.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.0%₩627₩687₩761₩857₩985
6.5%₩548₩595₩651₩722₩813
7.0%₩483₩519₩563₩617₩684
7.5%₩427₩457₩491₩533₩584
8.0%₩380₩404₩431₩464₩504

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩36B
Enterprise value
₩39B
P/E
—
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩8,280₩10,800₩5,440₩5,100₩11,250
Market cap₩128B₩167B₩84B₩79B₩174B
P/E—117.9×50.7×33.7×—
P/B2.2×2.8×1.5×1.4×3.3×
P/S2.4×2.1×0.8×0.6×2.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Ilshin Stone—0.6×0.7×—0.0%
Samsung C&T18.1×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
POSCO International10.3×1.2×0.3×—3.8%
ISC42.6×5.7×11.9×—0.5%
Youngone5.2×0.7×0.7×—3.0%
Dong SUH Companies19.6×1.7×5.3×—4.0%
SK Gas7.4×0.6×0.3×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)14.2×1.0×0.9×—3.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Ilshin Stone / 일신석재 / 007110 / KRX:007110

Source: KRX statistical information