Byuksan벽산
007210 · KOSPI · ₩007210 · 벽산
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,210
vs the current price (₩1,308)
- Enterprise value
- ₩390B
- Equity value
- ₩210B
- WACC
- 5.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 145% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,308, the model needs an operating margin of 3.1% every year (it uses 4.0%).
- Or revenue growth −12.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 6.0× against a typical 6.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩3,210
- +145.4%
- Bull
- ₩13,943
- +966.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.0%).
Revenue growth
- 5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 19.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.24, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩622B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩110B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩74B
- Shares
- 65,360,000
- Share price
- ₩1,308
- Market cap
- ₩85B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩621B | ₩643B | ₩611B | ₩657B | ₩689B | ₩719B | ₩744B | ₩767B |
| Growth | 19.4% | 3.6% | −5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩45B | ₩26B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| EBIT margin | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩32B | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩22B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| − Capital spending | ₩54B | ₩19B | ₩25B | ₩34B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩39B | ₩40B |
| − Working capital | ₩63B | ₩43B | −₩34B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.3B | ₩5.8B | ₩5B | ₩4.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩5.8B | ₩6.8B | ₩7.9B | ₩9.1B | ₩10B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.948 | 0.898 | 0.852 | 0.807 | 0.765 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.5B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.7B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.8B |
Terminal value ₩467B, worth ₩357B today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,741 a share)Now 0.28× | ₩1,7580.37× | ₩2,6100.55× | ₩4,3240.91× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩216 a share)Now 6.04× | ₩9564.42× | ₩1,3656.31× | ₩2,98313.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩358 a share)Now 3.66× | ₩1,5804.42× | ₩2,2556.31× | ₩4,92813.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5% | ₩3,965 | ₩4,723 | ₩5,780 | ₩7,360 | ₩9,985 |
| 5.0% | ₩3,054 | ₩3,581 | ₩4,280 | ₩5,254 | ₩6,711 |
| 5.5% | ₩2,348 | ₩2,726 | ₩3,210 | ₩3,851 | ₩4,746 |
| 6.0% | ₩1,784 | ₩2,062 | ₩2,408 | ₩2,851 | ₩3,437 |
| 6.5% | ₩1,324 | ₩1,533 | ₩1,786 | ₩2,101 | ₩2,503 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩85B
- Enterprise value
- ₩192B
- P/E
- 6.0×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,742 | ₩1,838 | ₩2,625 | ₩2,020 | ₩3,915 |
| Market cap | ₩114B | ₩120B | ₩172B | ₩132B | ₩256B |
| P/E | 5.0× | 7.4× | 5.2× | 13.3× | — |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.7% | 2.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byuksan | 6.0× | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 2.3% |
| Tokai Carbon Korea | 31.7× | 4.5× | 7.2× | — | 0.7% |
| Hanilcementco | 11.9× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.1% |
| Wonik QnC | 14.8× | 1.3× | 0.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Sampyo Cement | 17.4× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 6.1× | 2.1% |
| Hanil Holdings | 9.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 6.0% |
| IS Dongseo | 5.1× | 0.3× | 0.4× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 13.4× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 6.1× | 2.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Byuksan / 벽산 / 007210 / KRX:007210
Source: KRX statistical information