Wonpoong원풍
008370 · KOSDAQ · ₩008370 · 원풍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,572
vs the current price (₩5,430)
- Enterprise value
- ₩71B
- Equity value
- ₩115B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 76% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,430, the model needs an operating margin of 2.8% every year (it uses 7.1%).
- 46% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 6.9× against a typical 7.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩6,823
- +25.7%
- Base
- ₩9,572
- +76.3%
- Bull
- ₩14,446
- +166.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.1%).
Revenue growth
- -0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 27.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩87B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩41B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,000,000
- Share price
- ₩5,430
- Market cap
- ₩65B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩74B | ₩80B | ₩88B | ₩86B | ₩86B | ₩87B | ₩89B | ₩92B |
| Growth | −17.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | −0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.1B | ₩4.5B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B |
| EBIT margin | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩3.3B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2B | ₩988M | ₩2.2B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩26B | ₩5.2B | ₩526M | −₩165M | ₩47M | ₩281M | ₩498M | ₩726M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.2B | ₩4B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.5B |
Terminal value ₩78B, worth ₩55B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,052 a share)Now 0.67× | ₩4,5580.57× | ₩5,1480.64× | ₩5,9790.74× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩786 a share)Now 6.91× | ₩4,2085.35× | ₩5,6197.15× | ₩10,17812.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩973 a share)Now 5.58× | ₩5,2105.35× | ₩6,9577.15× | ₩12,60112.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩10,071 | ₩10,460 | ₩10,939 | ₩11,541 | ₩12,323 |
| 6.8% | ₩9,513 | ₩9,818 | ₩10,184 | ₩10,635 | ₩11,201 |
| 7.3% | ₩9,043 | ₩9,286 | ₩9,572 | ₩9,917 | ₩10,340 |
| 7.8% | ₩8,643 | ₩8,838 | ₩9,065 | ₩9,334 | ₩9,657 |
| 8.3% | ₩8,298 | ₩8,457 | ₩8,639 | ₩8,852 | ₩9,104 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩65B
- Enterprise value
- ₩24B
- P/E
- 6.9×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 8.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,845 | ₩3,980 | ₩4,345 | ₩4,965 | ₩5,310 |
| Market cap | ₩58B | ₩48B | ₩52B | ₩60B | ₩64B |
| P/E | 8.3× | 6.2× | 7.7× | 7.1× | 12.4× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.7× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 9.3% | 6.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wonpoong | 6.9× | 0.7× | 0.8× | — | 8.3% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology | 5.8× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.0% |
| Kumho Tire | 3.1× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Pum-Tech Korea | 19.8× | 2.5× | 2.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Dongwon Systems | 9.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 5.7× | 2.8% |
| Nexen Tire | 3.6× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 3.5% |
| PI Advanced Materials | 12.4× | 1.2× | 1.7× | 5.0× | 2.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.7× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 5.4× | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Wonpoong / 원풍 / 008370 / KRX:008370
Source: KRX statistical information