Daedong Gear대동기어
008830 · KOSDAQ · ₩008830 · 대동기어
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩31B
- Equity value
- −₩148B
- WACC
- 6.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,560, the model needs an operating margin of 8.7% every year (it uses 2.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.0%).
Revenue growth
- -3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 11.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.74
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.61, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩227B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩118B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 19,181,916
- Share price
- ₩5,560
- Market cap
- ₩107B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩281B | ₩257B | ₩221B | ₩221B | ₩217B | ₩217B | ₩221B | ₩227B |
| Growth | 16.2% | −8.6% | −14.1% | −3.0% | −1.5% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩8.1B | ₩4.5B | ₩162M | ₩4.4B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B |
| EBIT margin | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.9B | ₩3.2B | ₩118M | ₩3.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B |
| + Depreciation | ₩6.8B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.8B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.6B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B |
| − Working capital | −₩1.8B | ₩4.4B | −₩21B | −₩1.1B | −₩513M | ₩0 | ₩505M | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩3.1B | −₩15B | −₩15B | −₩16B | −₩17B | −₩18B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.943 | 0.890 | 0.840 | 0.792 | 0.747 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩14B | −₩14B | −₩13B | −₩13B | −₩13B |
Terminal value ₩49B, worth ₩37B today: -118% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,011 a share)Now 1.39× | ₩4,3391.08× | ₩6,1101.52× | ₩11,3822.84× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩541 a share)Now 10.3× | ₩10,32719.1× | ₩14,99827.7× | ₩38,15170.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩107B
- Enterprise value
- ₩224B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 27.7×
- Dividend yield
- 0.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,165 | ₩8,512 | ₩7,366 | ₩4,401 | ₩3,780 |
| Market cap | ₩214B | ₩163B | ₩141B | ₩84B | ₩73B |
| P/E | — | 139.8× | 51.0× | 20.0× | 15.2× |
| P/B | 2.7× | 1.9× | 1.6× | 1.1× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | 39.7× | 21.4× | 14.8× | 11.8× | 10.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.2% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daedong Gear | — | 1.4× | 0.5× | 27.7× | 0.5% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daedong Gear / 대동기어 / 008830 / KRX:008830
Source: KRX statistical information