KIE케이아이이
009140 · KOSPI · ₩009140 · 케이아이이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩32,165
vs the current price (₩10,100)
- Enterprise value
- −₩166M
- Equity value
- ₩42B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 218% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,100, the model needs an operating margin of −0.9% every year (it uses 2.3%).
- Margins ranged from −5.5% to 7.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 78% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 2.0× against a typical 4.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩22,570
- +123.5%
- Base
- ₩32,165
- +218.5%
- Bull
- ₩51,164
- +406.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).
Revenue growth
- 21.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 17%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (21.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 2.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩42B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩41B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩974M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 1,314,132
- Share price
- ₩10,100
- Market cap
- ₩13B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩36B | ₩51B | ₩60B | ₩67B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| Growth | 5.4% | 8.5% | 57.2% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩216M | −₩1.3B | ₩1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| EBIT margin | 1.0% | −5.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩156M | −₩922M | ₩742M | ₩857M | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| + Depreciation | ₩602M | ₩584M | ₩613M | ₩1.2B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩679M | ₩230M | ₩952M | ₩1.2B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| − Working capital | −₩24B | ₩1.1B | ₩4.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.5B | ₩3B | ₩2.1B | ₩872M |
| Free cash flow | ₩24B | −₩1.7B | −₩4.2B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.4B | −₩1.8B | −₩794M | ₩451M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.6B | −₩2.1B | −₩1.4B | −₩597M | ₩316M |
Terminal value ₩8.9B, worth ₩6.2B today: -3741% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩66,978 a share)Now 0.15× | ₩11,3250.17× | ₩13,9770.21× | ₩21,1800.32× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,118 a share)Now 1.97× | ₩12,3052.40× | ₩21,6234.22× | ₩36,8837.21× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩9,072 a share)Now 1.11× | ₩21,8122.40× | ₩38,3294.22× | ₩65,3787.21× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩35,377 | ₩34,510 | ₩33,427 | ₩32,045 | ₩30,234 |
| 6.9% | ₩34,572 | ₩33,741 | ₩32,726 | ₩31,461 | ₩29,851 |
| 7.4% | ₩33,902 | ₩33,114 | ₩32,165 | ₩31,006 | ₩29,566 |
| 7.9% | ₩33,339 | ₩32,593 | ₩31,708 | ₩30,644 | ₩29,348 |
| 8.4% | ₩32,861 | ₩32,157 | ₩31,331 | ₩30,352 | ₩29,179 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩13B
- Enterprise value
- −₩28B
- P/E
- 2.0×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,250 | ₩10,125 | ₩10,650 | ₩12,100 | ₩18,400 |
| Market cap | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩24B |
| P/E | 3.5× | 5.2× | 2.4× | 5.9× | 6.5× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | 5.2× | 3.3× |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 1.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIE | 2.0× | 0.2× | 0.3× | — | 2.5% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 39.2× | 5.8× | 3.8× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KIE / 케이아이이 / 009140 / KRX:009140
Source: KRX statistical information