Taeyoung Engineering & Construction

009410 · KOSPI · ₩009410 · 태영건설

₩1,490▼ ₩18 (1.19%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩272

vs the current price (₩1,490)

Enterprise value
₩860B
Equity value
₩90B
WACC
5.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 82% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,490, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses 2.6%).
  • Or revenue growth +7.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −12.1% to 6.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 73% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 2.9× against a typical 30.2× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩272
−81.7%
Bull
₩5,413
+263.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -4.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.62

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.44, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.7T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩935B
+ Stakes and investments
₩203B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩38B
Shares
330,254,624
incl. 649,974 preferred
Share price
₩1,490
Market cap
₩495B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩3.4T₩2.7T₩2.2T₩1.6T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.5T
Growth28.7%−19.9%−19.0%−5.8%−3.6%−1.4%0.8%3.0%
EBIT−₩405B₩21B₩53B₩40B₩39B₩38B₩39B₩40B
EBIT margin−12.1%0.8%2.4%2.6%2.6%2.6%2.6%2.6%
After-tax EBIT−₩293B₩15B₩38B₩29B₩28B₩28B₩28B₩29B
+ Depreciation———₩1.6B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B
− Capital spending₩6.4B₩1.7B₩4.4B₩3.1B₩3B₩3B₩3B₩3.1B
− Working capital−₩573B−₩61B−₩381B₩4B₩2.4B₩881M−₩496M−₩1.9B
Free cash flow———₩24B₩24B₩25B₩27B₩29B
Discount factor———0.9510.9040.8590.8170.777
Present value———₩23B₩22B₩22B₩22B₩23B

Terminal value ₩964B, worth ₩749B today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,773 a share)Now 0.84×₩1,6890.95×₩4,9862.81×₩16,2159.15×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩508 a share)Now 2.93×₩2,6305.18×₩15,31530.2×₩39,10377.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.2%₩319₩793₩1,484₩2,588₩4,628
4.7%—₩295₩765₩1,450₩2,544
5.2%——₩272₩737₩1,417
5.7%———₩249₩710
6.2%————₩226

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩491B
Enterprise value
₩1.4T
P/E
2.9×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,756₩2,410₩4,630₩8,060₩21,000
Market cap₩579B₩794B₩1.5T₩2.7T₩6.9T
P/E9.1×22.7×—42.3×92.1×
P/B1.0×1.5×—3.5×9.7×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.5×1.0×2.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Taeyoung Engineering & Construction2.9×0.8×0.3×—0.0%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction22.7×1.1×0.4×—0.9%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction—1.3×0.6×—0.0%
GS Engineering & Construction19.3×0.5×0.2×—1.7%
DL E&C3.6×0.4×0.3×—1.5%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering14.4×1.4×1.2×8.1×0.0%
Ipark Hyundai Development8.9×0.5×0.4×—2.8%
Similar companies (median)14.4×0.8×0.4×8.1×1.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Taeyoung Engineering & Construction / 태영건설 / 009410 / KRX:009410

Source: KRX statistical information