Taeyoung Engineering & Construction태영건설
009410 · KOSPI · ₩009410 · 태영건설
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩272
vs the current price (₩1,490)
- Enterprise value
- ₩860B
- Equity value
- ₩90B
- WACC
- 5.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 82% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,490, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses 2.6%).
- Or revenue growth +7.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −12.1% to 6.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 73% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 2.9× against a typical 30.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩272
- −81.7%
- Bull
- ₩5,413
- +263.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.6%).
Revenue growth
- -5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.44, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.7T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩935B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩203B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩38B
- Shares
- 330,254,624
- incl. 649,974 preferred
- Share price
- ₩1,490
- Market cap
- ₩495B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩3.4T | ₩2.7T | ₩2.2T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T |
| Growth | 28.7% | −19.9% | −19.0% | −5.8% | −3.6% | −1.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩405B | ₩21B | ₩53B | ₩40B | ₩39B | ₩38B | ₩39B | ₩40B |
| EBIT margin | −12.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩293B | ₩15B | ₩38B | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.4B | ₩1.7B | ₩4.4B | ₩3.1B | ₩3B | ₩3B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩573B | −₩61B | −₩381B | ₩4B | ₩2.4B | ₩881M | −₩496M | −₩1.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩29B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.951 | 0.904 | 0.859 | 0.817 | 0.777 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩23B |
Terminal value ₩964B, worth ₩749B today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,773 a share)Now 0.84× | ₩1,6890.95× | ₩4,9862.81× | ₩16,2159.15× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩508 a share)Now 2.93× | ₩2,6305.18× | ₩15,31530.2× | ₩39,10377.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | ₩319 | ₩793 | ₩1,484 | ₩2,588 | ₩4,628 |
| 4.7% | — | ₩295 | ₩765 | ₩1,450 | ₩2,544 |
| 5.2% | — | — | ₩272 | ₩737 | ₩1,417 |
| 5.7% | — | — | — | ₩249 | ₩710 |
| 6.2% | — | — | — | — | ₩226 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩491B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.4T
- P/E
- 2.9×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,756 | ₩2,410 | ₩4,630 | ₩8,060 | ₩21,000 |
| Market cap | ₩579B | ₩794B | ₩1.5T | ₩2.7T | ₩6.9T |
| P/E | 9.1× | 22.7× | — | 42.3× | 92.1× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 1.5× | — | 3.5× | 9.7× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 1.0× | 2.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taeyoung Engineering & Construction | 2.9× | 0.8× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.7× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 19.3× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.4× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 8.1× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.9× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.4× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 8.1× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Taeyoung Engineering & Construction / 태영건설 / 009410 / KRX:009410
Source: KRX statistical information