OCI Holdings

010060 · KOSPI · ₩010060 · OCI홀딩스

₩180,600▼ ₩2,100 (1.15%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.

Fair value per share

₩160,233

vs the current price (₩180,600)

Enterprise value
₩4.2T
Equity value
₩3T
WACC
6.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩73,910
−59.1%
Base
₩160,233
−11.3%
Bull
₩319,761
+77.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.39, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩3.6T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩927B
+ Stakes and investments
₩642B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩880B
Shares
18,670,232
Share price
₩180,600
Market cap
₩3.4T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2.6T₩3.6T₩3.4T₩3.2T₩3T₩2.9T₩2.9T₩3T
Growth−43.3%35.0%−5.5%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩531B₩102B−₩58B₩360B₩336B₩324B₩323B₩333B
EBIT margin20.0%2.8%−1.7%11.2%11.2%11.2%11.2%11.2%
After-tax EBIT₩385B₩74B−₩42B₩261B₩244B₩235B₩235B₩242B
+ Depreciation———₩231B₩216B₩208B₩208B₩214B
− Capital spending₩158B₩360B₩373B₩289B₩270B₩260B₩260B₩268B
− Working capital−₩209B₩500B−₩203B−₩143B−₩86B−₩42B−₩2.3B₩35B
Free cash flow———₩346B₩276B₩225B₩185B₩153B
Discount factor———0.9380.8800.8250.7740.726
Present value———₩325B₩243B₩186B₩143B₩111B

Terminal value ₩4.3T, worth ₩3.1T today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩219,205 a share)Now 0.82×₩73,6850.34×₩111,1870.51×₩193,5910.88×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,002 a share)Now 90.2×₩3,0281.51×₩4,4152.21×₩17,7488.87×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩10,338 a share)Now 17.5×₩15,6421.51×₩22,8052.21×₩91,6748.87×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.6%₩178,529₩196,143₩218,561₩248,097₩288,833
6.1%₩155,821₩169,239₩185,861₩207,014₩234,880
6.6%₩137,153₩147,588₩160,233₩175,894₩195,824
7.1%₩121,535₩129,785₩139,604₩151,501₩166,234
7.6%₩108,276₩114,888₩122,639₩131,862₩143,035

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩3.4T
Enterprise value
₩4.3T
P/E
90.2×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.9×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩115,200₩58,800₩106,200₩64,212₩82,649
Market cap₩2.2T₩1.1T₩2T₩1.2T₩1.5T
P/E—11.2×2.8×1.4×2.4×
P/B0.5×0.3×0.5×0.3×0.5×
P/S0.6×0.3×0.7×0.3×0.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.9%3.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
OCI Holdings90.2×0.8×0.9×—0.6%
SK Square3.3×2.0×88.7×3.2×0.0%
KB Financial Group8.3×0.9×—9.3×3.0%
Shinhan Financial Group7.5×0.7×—10.0×3.0%
SK4.5×1.0×0.3×—1.6%
Hana Financial Group7.5×0.7×—9.8×3.6%
Woori Financial Group6.7×0.5×—8.2×4.7%
Similar companies (median)7.1×0.8×44.5×9.3×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: OCI Holdings / OCI홀딩스 / 010060 / KRX:010060

Source: KRX statistical information