Korea Movenex

010100 · KOSPI · ₩010100 · 한국무브넥스

₩3,155▼ ₩15 (0.47%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩14,489

vs the current price (₩3,155)

Enterprise value
₩495B
Equity value
₩441B
WACC
6.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 359% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,155, the model needs an operating margin of 1.4% every year (it uses 2.4%).
  • Or revenue growth −24.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • 38% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 4.4× against a typical 3.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩14,489
+359.2%
Bull
₩59,621
+1,789.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 7.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.74

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.61, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.7T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩82B
+ Stakes and investments
₩67B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩38B
Shares
30,450,420
Share price
₩3,155
Market cap
₩96B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.5T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.8T₩2T₩2.1T₩2.2T₩2.2T
Growth10.2%3.7%8.4%7.4%6.3%5.2%4.1%3.0%
EBIT₩59B₩44B₩25B₩44B₩47B₩50B₩52B₩53B
EBIT margin3.9%2.8%1.5%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%
After-tax EBIT₩43B₩32B₩18B₩32B₩34B₩36B₩37B₩39B
+ Depreciation₩34B₩37B₩42B₩44B₩47B₩50B₩52B₩53B
− Capital spending₩74B₩114B₩44B₩91B₩96B₩101B₩105B₩109B
− Working capital−₩28B₩8.2B₩9.3B₩4.1B₩3.7B₩3.3B₩2.7B₩2.1B
Free cash flow₩31B−₩53B₩6.9B−₩18B−₩19B−₩19B−₩19B−₩19B
Discount factor———0.9420.8870.8350.7860.741
Present value———−₩17B−₩17B−₩16B−₩15B−₩14B

Terminal value ₩774B, worth ₩573B today: 116% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩14,021 a share)Now 0.23×₩3,7600.27×₩4,6050.33×₩8,0730.58×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩719 a share)Now 4.39×₩1,7762.47×₩2,6993.75×₩4,3516.05×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,132 a share)Now 2.79×₩2,7972.47×₩4,2503.75×₩6,8536.05×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.2%₩15,572₩18,142₩21,514₩26,137₩32,863
5.7%₩13,060₩15,023₩17,514₩20,784₩25,265
6.2%₩11,049₩12,587₩14,489₩16,905₩20,074
6.7%₩9,406₩10,636₩12,127₩13,971₩16,313
7.2%₩8,042₩9,043₩10,235₩11,680₩13,468

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩96B
Enterprise value
₩176B
P/E
4.4×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
2.8×
Dividend yield
3.2%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,645₩3,095₩9,260₩2,700₩2,680
Market cap₩141B₩94B₩282B₩82B₩82B
P/E6.8×2.1×6.0×2.5×4.4×
P/B0.4×0.2×0.9×0.3×0.3×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.2×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA4.0×2.7×3.8×2.4×2.7×
Dividend yield2.2%3.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Korea Movenex4.4×0.2×0.1×2.8×3.2%
Hyundai Mobis8.7×0.6×0.5×—1.8%
SL6.0×0.9×0.4×3.7×0.0%
HL Mando10.7×0.6×0.2×—1.9%
Samhyun—12.1×17.1×—0.0%
Hyundai WIA19.4×0.4×0.2×—2.4%
SNT Dynamics13.0×0.7×0.8×—7.0%
Similar companies (median)10.7×0.7×0.5×3.7×1.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Korea Movenex / 한국무브넥스 / 010100 / KRX:010100

Source: KRX statistical information