LS ElectricLS ELECTRIC
010120 · KOSPI · ₩010120 · LS ELECTRIC
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩29,048
vs the current price (₩152,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.5T
- Equity value
- ₩4.4T
- WACC
- 9.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 81% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩152,900, the model needs an operating margin of 31.4% every year (it uses 7.7%).
- Or revenue growth +53.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩6.8T, operating profit ₩773B (11.4% margin) (2 brokers). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩9.2T, operating profit ₩1.2T (13.2% margin) (2 brokers). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Today's P/E is 59.0× against a typical 22.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩14,536
- −90.5%
- Base
- ₩29,048
- −81.0%
- Bull
- ₩52,376
- −65.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.7%).
Revenue growth
- 13.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.93
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.9, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩5.7T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩206B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩171B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩69B
- Shares
- 150,000,000
- Share price
- ₩152,900
- Market cap
- ₩23T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩4.2T | ₩4.6T | ₩5T | ₩6.5T | ₩7.2T | ₩7.8T | ₩8.2T | ₩8.5T |
| Growth | 25.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩325B | ₩390B | ₩426B | ₩499B | ₩553B | ₩600B | ₩634B | ₩653B |
| EBIT margin | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩236B | ₩283B | ₩309B | ₩361B | ₩401B | ₩435B | ₩460B | ₩473B |
| + Depreciation | ₩67B | ₩77B | ₩90B | ₩110B | ₩122B | ₩132B | ₩140B | ₩144B |
| − Capital spending | ₩124B | ₩152B | ₩210B | ₩227B | ₩252B | ₩273B | ₩288B | ₩297B |
| − Working capital | ₩39B | ₩125B | ₩148B | ₩186B | ₩169B | ₩144B | ₩106B | ₩59B |
| Free cash flow | ₩139B | ₩83B | ₩41B | ₩59B | ₩102B | ₩151B | ₩206B | ₩262B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.917 | 0.840 | 0.770 | 0.706 | 0.647 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩54B | ₩86B | ₩116B | ₩145B | ₩169B |
Terminal value ₩6T, worth ₩3.9T today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩14,201 a share)Now 10.8× | ₩14,6461.03× | ₩33,6432.37× | ₩169,73212.0× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,592 a share)Now 59.0× | ₩38,70914.9× | ₩57,09522.0× | ₩152,90059.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩3,767 a share)Now 40.6× | ₩56,25514.9× | ₩82,97422.0× | ₩222,20659.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | ₩31,425 | ₩33,010 | ₩34,846 | ₩37,002 | ₩39,572 |
| 8.6% | ₩28,907 | ₩30,219 | ₩31,722 | ₩33,465 | ₩35,511 |
| 9.1% | ₩26,709 | ₩27,804 | ₩29,048 | ₩30,473 | ₩32,125 |
| 9.6% | ₩24,774 | ₩25,696 | ₩26,734 | ₩27,911 | ₩29,261 |
| 10.1% | ₩23,060 | ₩23,841 | ₩24,713 | ₩25,694 | ₩26,808 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩23T
- Enterprise value
- ₩23T
- P/E
- 59.0×
- P/B
- 10.8×
- P/S
- 4.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- 36.5×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩91,996 | ₩32,159 | ₩14,639 | ₩11,280 | ₩11,160 |
| Market cap | ₩14T | ₩4.8T | ₩2.2T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.7T |
| P/E | 48.1× | 20.2× | 10.7× | 18.7× | 19.8× |
| P/B | 6.7× | 2.6× | 1.3× | 1.1× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 2.8× | 1.1× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 27.7× | 11.3× | 6.4× | 8.0× | 7.7× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS Electric | 59.0× | 10.8× | 4.0× | 36.5× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 29.5× | 6.7× | 2.7× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.9× | 7.1× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 105.2× | 12.7× | 2.3× | 54.8× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.1× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Iljin Electric | 18.6× | 4.0× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.1× | 6.9× | 2.5× | 54.8× | 0.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: LS Electric / LS ELECTRIC / 010120 / KRX:010120
Source: KRX statistical information